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Chance Liga · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 12:00

Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: prediction, odds and betting tip – 25 October 2026, Chance Liga

1Hradec Králové2.48
XDraw3.30
2FK Jablonec3.19

Top price available · Updated 25/10/26, 09:20

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Hradec Králové welcome FK Jablonec on 25 October 2026 · 12:00 at Malšovická arena (Hradec Králové), and the referee is Dominik Starý. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Hradec Králové +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.58
Chance 62% · confidence medium

Wins: Hradec Králové win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Hradec Králové lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.80
Chance 54% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
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Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Hradec Králové lie 11th, having collected 15 points after 13 matches (4W 3D 6L); FK Jablonec lie 7th, having collected 20 points (6W 2D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Hradec Králové average 0.9 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 1.3 for and 1.1 against for FK Jablonec.
  3. Form in the competition. Hradec Králové: 4W 3D 4L, goals 10–13; FK Jablonec: 5W 2D 4L, goals 14–12.
  4. Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, Hradec Králové have taken 2 wins to FK Jablonec's 6 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 12–21.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.6%). This one looks finely poised.

Worth noting: the league table leans towards the FK Jablonec, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 13; Hradec Králové 2 wins, 5 draws, FK Jablonec 6 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Hradec Králové 10–13, FK Jablonec 14–12.
  4. Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
  5. Unavailable: Hradec Králové 0, FK Jablonec 0.

Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals

Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Hradec Králové: no absences. FK Jablonec will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.483.303.19
Market average2.393.152.95
Lowest odds2.303.002.75
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.2872.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.021.9448.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.851.8251.6%
Over 3.5 goals3.503.2828.5%
BTTS – yes1.801.7254.1%
BTTS – no2.102.0245.9%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 09:20. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Hradec Králové 1–1 FK Jablonec, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Hradec Králové 11th (15 points), FK Jablonec 7th (20 points).
  • Form in the competition: Hradec Králové 4W 3D 4L (10:13), FK Jablonec 5W 2D 4L (14:12).
  • H2H: 13 matches: Hradec Králové 2W 5D 6L, goals 12–21.
  • Absences: Hradec Králové 0, FK Jablonec 0.

Who will win Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?

Hradec Králové39%
Draw30%
FK Jablonec32%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.34
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.5% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.32
Likely
Hradec Králové or draw (1X)68.4% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Both teams to score: yes54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.85
Possible
Over 2.5 goals48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.02
Outsider
Both teams to score: no45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.10
Outsider
Hradec Králové to win38.9% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.48
Outsider
FK Jablonec to win31.6% · fair odds 3.17 · best 3.19
Outsider
Draw29.5% · fair odds 3.39 · best 3.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.5% · fair odds 3.51 · best 3.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.03 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.6%

Correct score tips

1 : 112.6%
1 : 010.5%
0 : 19.4%
2 : 18.5%
0 : 07.8%
1 : 27.6%

Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: injuries and missing players

Hradec Králové

  • No reported absences

FK Jablonec

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Bohemians 1905135-5-315:1420
9Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
10Plzeň135-4-428:2119
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis132-4-714:2410
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Hradec Králové

1 NovLMladá Boleslav 3–1 Hradec Králové
25 OctLHradec Králové 1–2 FK Jablonec
17 OctDSlavia Praha 0–0 Hradec Králové
10 OctLHradec Králové 2–4 Artis
20 SeptLHradec Králové 0–2 Teplice

FK Jablonec

5 NovDRiga 1–1 FK Jablonec
31 OctLFK Jablonec 0–5 Slavia Praha
25 OctWHradec Králové 1–2 FK Jablonec
22 OctDFK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
18 OctLFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň

Home and away

Hradec Králové at home7 matches: 3W 1D 3L, goals 9–11
FK Jablonec away6 matches: 3W 1D 2L, goals 6–6

Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: last matches of both teams

Hradec Králové

L 1/11/26 · Mladá Boleslav 3–1 Hradec Králové
D 17/10/26 · Slavia Praha 0–0 Hradec Králové
L 10/10/26 · Hradec Králové 2–4 Artis
L 20/9/26 · Hradec Králové 0–2 Teplice

FK Jablonec

D 5/11/26 · Riga 1–1 FK Jablonec
L 31/10/26 · FK Jablonec 0–5 Slavia Praha
D 22/10/26 · FK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
L 18/10/26 · FK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň

Team comparison

Hradec KrálovéFK Jablonec
42%Form58%
36%Attack64%
46%Defence54%
38%Head to head62%
45%Goals55%
42.7%Overall57.3%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Hradec KrálovéLLDLL
FK JablonecLWLWD

Head to head

All matches
2Hradec Králové
5Draws
6FK Jablonec
25/10/26 · Hradec Králové 1–2 FK Jablonec
10/5/26 · FK Jablonec 1–1 Hradec Králové
29/11/25 · Hradec Králové 2–0 FK Jablonec
2/8/25 · FK Jablonec 2–0 Hradec Králové
12/3/25 · Hradec Králové 1–2 FK Jablonec
1/3/25 · Hradec Králové 1–1 FK Jablonec

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?

Hradec Králové +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Both teams to score (1.80).

Who will win Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?

Our estimate gives Hradec Králové a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and FK Jablonec 32%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 12:00, venue Malšovická arena, Hradec Králové. Referee: Dominik Starý.

Who will be missing?

Hradec Králové: no absences. FK Jablonec: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.02) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.85).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (12.6%), then 1–0 (10.5%) and 0–1 (9.4%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Zlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 NovTeplice vs Pardubice 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.