Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad), Fredrikstad take on Rosenborg, with Sigurd Smehus Kringstad in charge. We make Rosenborg (53%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Rosenborg win. Loses: a draw, Rosenborg lose.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Fredrikstad lie 11th, having collected 29 points after 25 matches (8W 5D 12L); Rosenborg lie 4th, having collected 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Fredrikstad average 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.9 for and 1.3 against for Rosenborg.
- Form in the competition. Fredrikstad: 8W 5D 11L, goals 29–41; Rosenborg: 12W 4D 8L, goals 46–31.
- Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, Fredrikstad have taken 1 win to Rosenborg's 4 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 4–13.
What to expect
In our view Rosenborg hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.58), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 7; Fredrikstad 1 win, 2 draws, Rosenborg 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Fredrikstad 29–41, Rosenborg 46–31.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
- Unavailable: Fredrikstad 2, Rosenborg 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Fredrikstad: S. Kvile, J. Nysveen. Rosenborg will be without: J. Bakke, S. Nordli, E. Slordal, H. Volden, A. Pereira. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.25 | 4.18 | 1.81 |
| Market average | 3.98 | 3.92 | 1.77 |
| Lowest odds | 3.40 | 3.31 | 1.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.56 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.38 | 39.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.38 | 39.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 12:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Fredrikstad 1–1 Rosenborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Fredrikstad 11th (29 points), Rosenborg 4th (43 points).
- Form in the competition: Fredrikstad 8W 5D 11L (29:41), Rosenborg 12W 4D 8L (46:31).
- H2H: 7 matches: Fredrikstad 1W 2D 4L, goals 4–13.
- Absences: Fredrikstad 2, Rosenborg 5.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: injuries and missing players
Fredrikstad
- S. Kvileknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nysveeninjury · will miss the match
Rosenborg
- J. Bakkeinjury · will miss the match
- S. Nordlithigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Slordalfoot injury · will miss the match
- H. Voldeninjury · will miss the match
- A. Pereiraillness · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Fredrikstad
Home and away
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: last matches of both teams
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FredrikstadLLLDDRosenborgWWWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Rosenborg -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Under 3.5 goals (1.58).
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Our estimate gives Fredrikstad a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rosenborg 53%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad. Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad.
Who will be missing?
Fredrikstad: S. Kvile, J. Nysveen. Rosenborg: J. Bakke, S. Nordli, E. Slordal, H. Volden, A. Pereira. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.3%), then 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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