Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 17 October 2026 · 17:00 at SR-Bank Arena (Stavanger), Viking take on Fredrikstad, with Marius Grøtta, Norway in charge. We make Viking (70%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Fredrikstad win, a draw, Fredrikstad lose by 1. Loses: Fredrikstad lose by 2 or more.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Viking lie 1st, having collected 59 points after 25 matches (19W 2D 4L); Fredrikstad lie 11th, having collected 29 points (8W 5D 12L).
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Viking have taken 6 wins to Fredrikstad's 1 win, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 17–9.
What to expect
In our view Viking hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Viking 6 wins, 2 draws, Fredrikstad 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
- Unavailable: Viking 0, Fredrikstad 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.82). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Viking: no absences. Fredrikstad will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.38 | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| Market average | 1.34 | 5.46 | 7.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.27 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.97 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 12:15. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Viking 2–1 Fredrikstad, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Viking 1st (59 points), Fredrikstad 11th (29 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Viking 6W 2D 1L, goals 17–9.
- Absences: Viking 0, Fredrikstad 0.
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Viking vs Fredrikstad: injuries and missing players
Viking
- No reported absences
Fredrikstad
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Viking
Home and away
Viking vs Fredrikstad: last matches of both teams
Viking
Fredrikstad
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Fredrikstad +1.5 (Asian handicap) (2.08); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Our estimate gives Viking a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Fredrikstad 13%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 17:00, venue SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. Referee: Marius Grøtta, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Viking: no absences. Fredrikstad: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.40) and under 2.5 goals at 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.4%), then 2–0 (9.4%) and 3–1 (7.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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