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League of Ireland Premier Division · Matchweek 35 · 23 October 2026 · 19:45

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: prediction, odds and betting tip – 23 October 2026, League of Ireland Premier Division

1Galway United5.37
XDraw4.18
2St Patrick's Athletic1.62

Top price available · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic, 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Eamonn Deacy Park (Galway). The odds point to St Patrick's Athletic (58%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Galway United +1 (Asian handicap)
1.83
Chance 54% · confidence medium

Wins: Galway United win, a draw. Stake back: Galway United lose by 1. Loses: Galway United lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.76
Chance 55% · confidence medium
Combo
St Patrick's Athletic with over 2.5 goals
2.63
38% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or St Patrick's Athletic (X2) at a probability of 81%, with odds of up to 1.18.
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Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Galway United lie 8th, having collected 42 points after 36 matches (10W 12D 14L); St Patrick's Athletic lie 3rd, having collected 60 points (17W 9D 10L).
  2. Head to head. In 15 previous meetings, Galway United have taken 3 wins to St Patrick's Athletic's 7 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 15–21.

What to expect

In our view St Patrick's Athletic hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 15; Galway United 3 wins, 5 draws, St Patrick's Athletic 7 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
  4. Unavailable: Galway United 0, St Patrick's Athletic 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 54%, top price 1.75). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Galway United: no absences. St Patrick's Athletic will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available5.374.181.62
Market average5.013.941.61
Lowest odds4.803.801.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2176.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.761.7254.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.132.0845.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.7633.5%
BTTS – yes1.751.7353.5%
BTTS – no2.001.9946.5%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Galway United 1–1 St Patrick's Athletic, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Galway United 8th (42 points), St Patrick's Athletic 3rd (60 points).
  • H2H: 15 matches: Galway United 3W 5D 7L, goals 15–21.
  • Absences: Galway United 0, St Patrick's Athletic 0.

Who will win Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic?

Galway United19%
Draw24%
St Patrick's Athletic58%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: more betting tips

Draw or St Patrick's Athletic (X2)81.4% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.5% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.24
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.5% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
St Patrick's Athletic to win57.8% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.76
Possible
Both teams to score: yes53.5% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams to score: no46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.13
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.5% · fair odds 2.98 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw23.6% · fair odds 4.23 · best 4.18
Outsider
Galway United to win18.6% · fair odds 5.39 · best 5.37
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.9%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.5%
0 : 110.5%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 29.9%
0 : 36.3%
1 : 36.3%

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: injuries and missing players

Galway United

  • No reported absences

St Patrick's Athletic

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers3620-8-859:3868
2Bohemians3619-8-963:4465
3St Patrick's Athletic3617-9-1055:3160
4Shelbourne3612-13-1152:5049
5Derry City3611-15-1050:4748
6Dundalk3611-12-1355:5945
7Waterford3610-13-1354:6143
8Galway United3610-12-1446:5342
9Drogheda United3610-10-1644:5740
10Sligo Rovers365-10-2128:6625

Recent matches

Galway United

30 OctLDrogheda United 2–0 Galway United
23 OctDGalway United 0–0 St Patrick's Athletic
19 OctLWaterford 3–2 Galway United
16 OctWGalway United 2–0 Shamrock Rovers
25 SeptDGalway United 1–1 Shelbourne

St Patrick's Athletic

30 OctLSt Patrick's Athletic 2–3 Bohemians
23 OctDGalway United 0–0 St Patrick's Athletic
19 OctLDerry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athletic
16 OctLSt Patrick's Athletic 1–2 Shelbourne
19 SeptWSligo Rovers 0–1 St Patrick's Athletic

Home and away

Galway United at home18 matches: 6W 7D 5L, goals 25–25
St Patrick's Athletic away18 matches: 7W 6D 5L, goals 21–16

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: last matches of both teams

Galway United

L 30/10/26 · Drogheda United 2–0 Galway United
L 19/10/26 · Waterford 3–2 Galway United
W 16/10/26 · Galway United 2–0 Shamrock Rovers
D 25/9/26 · Galway United 1–1 Shelbourne

St Patrick's Athletic

L 30/10/26 · St Patrick's Athletic 2–3 Bohemians
L 19/10/26 · Derry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athletic
L 16/10/26 · St Patrick's Athletic 1–2 Shelbourne
W 19/9/26 · Sligo Rovers 0–1 St Patrick's Athletic

Head to head

All matches
3Galway United
5Draws
7St Patrick's Athletic
23/10/26 · Galway United 0–0 St Patrick's Athletic
3/7/26 · St Patrick's Athletic 3–0 Galway United
1/5/26 · Galway United 2–2 St Patrick's Athletic
2/3/26 · St Patrick's Athletic 1–0 Galway United
19/9/25 · St Patrick's Athletic 1–1 Galway United
14/9/25 · St Patrick's Athletic 3–1 Galway United

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic?

Galway United +1 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.76).

Who will win Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic?

Our estimate gives Galway United a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St Patrick's Athletic 58%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway.

Who will be missing?

Galway United: no absences. St Patrick's Athletic: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.76) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.13).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.5%), then 0–1 (10.5%) and 1–2 (9.9%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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