Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Waterford welcome Galway United on 19 October 2026 · 19:45 at Regional Sports Centre (Waterford), and the referee is O. Moran. Waterford (57%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Waterford win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Waterford win by 1. Loses: a draw, Waterford lose.
Waterford vs Galway United: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Waterford lie 7th, having collected 43 points after 36 matches (10W 13D 13L); Galway United lie 8th, having collected 42 points (10W 12D 14L).
- Head to head. In 22 previous meetings, Waterford have taken 6 wins to Galway United's 10 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 28–30.
What to expect
In our view Waterford hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 22; Waterford 6 wins, 6 draws, Galway United 10 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Waterford 0, Galway United 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Waterford: no absences. Galway United will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Waterford vs Galway United: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.86 | 4.70 | 4.77 |
| Market average | 1.62 | 4.21 | 4.56 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.43 | 3.31 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.39 | 38.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.32 | 40.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.57 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.28 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 19/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Waterford 2–1 Galway United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Waterford 7th (43 points), Galway United 8th (42 points).
- H2H: 22 matches: Waterford 6W 6D 10L, goals 28–30.
- Absences: Waterford 0, Galway United 0.
Who will win Waterford vs Galway United?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Waterford vs Galway United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Waterford vs Galway United: injuries and missing players
Waterford
- No reported absences
Galway United
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athletic | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Waterford
Home and away
Waterford vs Galway United: last matches of both teams
Waterford
Galway United
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Waterford vs Galway United?
Waterford -0.75 (Asian handicap) (2.14); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Waterford vs Galway United?
Our estimate gives Waterford a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Galway United 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 19 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Regional Sports Centre, Waterford. Referee: O. Moran.
Who will be missing?
Waterford: no absences. Galway United: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.60).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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