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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Gimnástica Segoviana
0–1
Cultural Leonesa
1Gimnástica Segoviana3.90
XDraw3.60
2Cultural Leonesa2.20

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Gimnástica Segoviana welcome Cultural Leonesa on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio La Albuera (Segovia). We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: tip and prediction
Main tip · Result
Gimnástica Segoviana or draw (1X)
1.75
Chance 56% · confidence medium
Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
Chance 57% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
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Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Gimnástica Segoviana have taken 1 win to Cultural Leonesa's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 4–4.

What to expect

In our view Cultural Leonesa hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 3; Gimnástica Segoviana 1 win, 1 draw, Cultural Leonesa 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
  4. Unavailable: Gimnástica Segoviana 0, Cultural Leonesa 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.84). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Gimnástica Segoviana: no absences. Cultural Leonesa will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.903.602.20
Market average3.183.402.12
Lowest odds2.833.131.91
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2374.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.841.7752.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.001.9847.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8132.8%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.2%
BTTS – no2.252.1642.8%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.3%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Cultural Leonesa, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 3 matches: Gimnástica Segoviana 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–4.
  • Absences: Gimnástica Segoviana 0, Cultural Leonesa 0.

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

Gimnástica Segoviana29%
Draw27%
Cultural Leonesa44%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals74.7% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.26
Likely
Draw or Cultural Leonesa (X2)70.8% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.2% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams to score: yes57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.84
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.00
Outsider
Cultural Leonesa to win43.6% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.20
Outsider
Both teams to score: no42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.8% · fair odds 3.05 · best 3.00
Outsider
Gimnástica Segoviana to win29.2% · fair odds 3.42 · best 3.90
Outsider
Draw27.2% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.77 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.6%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.8%
0 : 19.4%
1 : 29.1%
1 : 07.6%
2 : 17.4%
0 : 27.3%

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: injuries and missing players

Gimnástica Segoviana

  • No reported absences

Cultural Leonesa

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Team comparison

Gimnástica SegovianaCultural Leonesa
80%Head to head20%
57%Goals43%
68.5%Overall31.5%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Head to head

1Gimnástica Segoviana
1Draws
1Cultural Leonesa
27/10/26 · Gimnástica Segoviana 0–1 Cultural Leonesa
16/3/25 · Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Cultural Leonesa
15/12/24 · Cultural Leonesa 2–3 Gimnástica Segoviana

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

Gimnástica Segoviana or draw (1X) (1.75); Both teams to score (1.67).

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

Our estimate gives Gimnástica Segoviana a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cultural Leonesa 44%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Estadio La Albuera, Segovia.

Who will be missing?

Gimnástica Segoviana: no absences. Cultural Leonesa: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.84) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.00).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.8%), then 0–1 (9.4%) and 1–2 (9.1%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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