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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 15:30

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Kairat Almaty5.70
XDraw4.15
2Panathinaikos1.68

Top price available · Updated 22/10/26, 12:20

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Played: final score 1–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 22 October 2026 · 15:30 at Central Stadium (Almaty), Kairat Almaty take on Panathinaikos, with Allard Lindhout, Netherlands in charge. We make Panathinaikos (58%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Kairat Almaty +1 (Asian handicap)
1.83
Chance 54% · confidence medium

Wins: Kairat Almaty win, a draw. Stake back: Kairat Almaty lose by 1. Loses: Kairat Almaty lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.86
Chance 52% · confidence medium
Combo
Panathinaikos with over 2.5 goals
2.71
37% · combo fair odds
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Panathinaikos (X2) at a probability of 82%, with odds of up to 1.18.
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Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Kairat Almaty lie 27th, having collected 2 points after 3 matches (0W 2D 1L); Panathinaikos lie 2nd, having collected 9 points (3W 0D 0L).

What to expect

In our view Panathinaikos hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (11.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
  2. Unavailable: Kairat Almaty 0, Panathinaikos 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Kairat Almaty: no absences. Panathinaikos will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available5.704.151.68
Market average5.223.931.61
Lowest odds4.503.491.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2475.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.8152.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9847.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.102.9831.4%
BTTS – yes1.831.8051.6%
BTTS – no2.001.9248.4%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 12:20. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Kairat Almaty 0–1 Panathinaikos, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Kairat Almaty 27th (2 points), Panathinaikos 2nd (9 points).
  • Absences: Kairat Almaty 0, Panathinaikos 0.

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Kairat Almaty18%
Draw24%
Panathinaikos58%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: more betting tips

Draw or Panathinaikos (X2)82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.2% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Panathinaikos to win58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.68
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.86
Possible
Both teams to score: yes51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams to score: no48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.7% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw23.9% · fair odds 4.19 · best 4.15
Outsider
Kairat Almaty to win18.0% · fair odds 5.55 · best 5.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.3%

Correct score tips

0 : 111.2%
1 : 110.7%
0 : 210.4%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 36.4%
1 : 36.1%

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: injuries and missing players

Kairat Almaty

  • No reported absences

Panathinaikos

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Lugano33-0-011:49
2Panathinaikos33-0-09:39
3Twente33-0-08:29
4Monaco33-0-07:19
5Brighton32-1-05:07
6Brann32-1-07:37
7FC Copenhagen32-1-07:37
8Universitatea Craiova32-1-06:27
9Mjällby AIF32-1-05:17
10St. Truiden32-1-04:17
11Ajax32-0-19:36
12Trabzonspor32-0-16:36
13HNK Hajduk Split32-0-13:26
14SC Freiburg32-0-14:56
15FK Crvena Zvezda31-1-16:64
16Atalanta31-1-14:44
17SC Braga31-1-12:34
18Gent31-1-11:24
19Riga30-3-03:33
20FC Thun31-0-23:33
21Borac Banja Luka31-0-23:43
22Lincoln Red Imps FC31-0-23:63
23FK Jablonec30-2-13:42
24Aarhus30-2-11:22
25FC Nordsjælland30-2-13:52
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë30-2-12:42
27Kairat Almaty30-2-13:72
28CSKA Sofia30-1-24:61
29FC Iberia 199930-1-22:51
30Pafos30-1-23:71
31Getafe30-1-23:71
32Heart Of Midlothian30-1-22:61
33KuPS30-1-22:61
34FC Midtjylland30-1-22:81
35Inter Club d'Escaldes30-0-32:70
36Kauno Žalgiris30-0-31:110

Recent matches

Kairat Almaty

5 NovDAtalanta 1–1 Kairat Almaty
22 OctLKairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
15 OctDRiga 1–1 Kairat Almaty

Panathinaikos

5 NovWPanathinaikos 2–1 CSKA Sofia
22 OctWKairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
15 OctWPanathinaikos 2–1 Borac Banja Luka
27 AugWHradec Králové 1–2 Panathinaikos
20 AugDPanathinaikos 2–2 Hradec Králové

Home and away

Kairat Almaty at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–5
Panathinaikos away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: last matches of both teams

Kairat Almaty

D 5/11/26 · Atalanta 1–1 Kairat Almaty
D 15/10/26 · Riga 1–1 Kairat Almaty

Panathinaikos

W 5/11/26 · Panathinaikos 2–1 CSKA Sofia
W 15/10/26 · Panathinaikos 2–1 Borac Banja Luka
W 27/8/26 · Hradec Králové 1–2 Panathinaikos
D 20/8/26 · Panathinaikos 2–2 Hradec Králové

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Kairat Almaty +1 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.86).

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Our estimate gives Kairat Almaty a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Panathinaikos 58%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 15:30, venue Central Stadium, Almaty. Referee: Allard Lindhout, Netherlands.

Who will be missing?

Kairat Almaty: no absences. Panathinaikos: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.86) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.83).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–1 (11.2%), then 1–1 (10.7%) and 0–2 (10.4%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.