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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:00

Laredo vs Burgos: prediction, odds and betting tip – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Laredo
2–4
1Laredo6.60
XDraw4.40
2Burgos1.60

Top price available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 29 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio San Lorenzo, Laredo take on Burgos. We make Burgos (61%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Laredo vs Burgos: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Burgos -1 (Asian handicap)
2.00
Chance 50% · confidence medium

Wins: Burgos win by 2 or more. Stake back: Burgos win by 1. Loses: a draw, Burgos lose.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.85
Chance 51% · confidence medium
Combo
Burgos with over 2.5 goals
2.70
37% · combo fair odds
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Burgos (X2) at a probability of 84%, with odds of up to 1.13.
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Laredo vs Burgos: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Laredo have taken 0 wins to Burgos's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 2–4.

What to expect

In our view Burgos hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), which we give a 51% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 1; Laredo 0 wins, 0 draws, Burgos 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 6.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
  4. Unavailable: Laredo 0, Burgos 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no

Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Laredo: no absences. Burgos will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Laredo vs Burgos: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available6.604.401.60
Market average5.933.981.52
Lowest odds5.503.701.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2573.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.851.8251.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.971.9248.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.102.9331.4%
BTTS – yes1.951.8949.0%
BTTS – no1.851.8151.0%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.0%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Laredo 0–1 Burgos, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Laredo 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
  • Absences: Laredo 0, Burgos 0.

Who will win Laredo vs Burgos?

Laredo16%
Draw23%
Burgos61%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Laredo vs Burgos: more betting tips

Draw or Burgos (X2)84.3% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.36
Likely
Burgos to win61.0% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams to score: no51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams to score: yes49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.97
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw23.3% · fair odds 4.29 · best 4.40
Outsider
Laredo to win15.7% · fair odds 6.38 · best 6.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

0 : 112.4%
0 : 211.5%
1 : 110.6%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 37.1%
0 : 06.7%

Laredo vs Burgos: injuries and missing players

Laredo

  • No reported absences

Burgos

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Laredo vs Burgos: last matches of both teams

Laredo

Burgos

D 1/11/26 · Burgos 1–1 Castellón
W 26/10/26 · FC Andorra 2–3 Burgos
W 18/10/26 · Burgos 1–0 Sabadell
L 12/10/26 · Burgos 0–1 Granada CF
L 3/10/26 · Almería 2–1 Burgos

Head to head

All matches
0Laredo
0Draws
1Burgos
29/10/26 · Laredo 2–4 Burgos

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.0%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Laredo vs Burgos?

Burgos -1 (Asian handicap) (2.00); Over 2.5 goals (1.85).

Who will win Laredo vs Burgos?

Our estimate gives Laredo a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burgos 61%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Estadio San Lorenzo.

Who will be missing?

Laredo: no absences. Burgos: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.85) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.97).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.95).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–1 (12.4%), then 0–2 (11.5%) and 1–1 (10.6%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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