Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Leganés welcome Mallorca on 24 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganés), and the referee is O. Rivera Olmedo. Mallorca (49%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Mallorca win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Mallorca lose.
Leganés vs Mallorca: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Leganés lie 17th, having collected 12 points after 12 matches (3W 3D 6L); Mallorca lie 5th, having collected 22 points (6W 4D 2L).
- Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, Leganés have taken 1 win to Mallorca's 3 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 3–5.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (13.2%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 43%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 7; Leganés 1 win, 3 draws, Mallorca 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.1 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
- Unavailable: Leganés 0, Mallorca 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.82). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Leganés: no absences. Mallorca will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Leganés vs Mallorca: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.54 | 3.50 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 4.11 | 3.29 | 1.94 |
| Lowest odds | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.36 | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.18 | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.67 | 56.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.87 | 24.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.91 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.82 | 1.80 | 51.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 14:13. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Leganés 0–1 Mallorca, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Leganés 17th (12 points), Mallorca 5th (22 points).
- H2H: 7 matches: Leganés 1W 3D 3L, goals 3–5.
- Absences: Leganés 0, Mallorca 0.
Who will win Leganés vs Mallorca?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Leganés vs Mallorca: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Leganés vs Mallorca: injuries and missing players
Leganés
- No reported absences
Mallorca
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Leganés
Home and away
Leganés vs Mallorca: last matches of both teams
Leganés
Mallorca
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Leganés vs Mallorca?
Mallorca -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Under 2.5 goals (1.76).
Who will win Leganés vs Mallorca?
Our estimate gives Leganés a 23% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Mallorca 49%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:15, venue Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés. Referee: O. Rivera Olmedo.
Who will be missing?
Leganés: no absences. Mallorca: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.30) and under 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.93).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (13.2%), then 1–1 (12.5%) and 0–2 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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