Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 2 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid), Valladolid take on Leganés, with Damaso Arcediano Monescillo in charge. We make Valladolid (48%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Leganés win, a draw. Loses: Leganés lose.
Valladolid vs Leganés: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Valladolid lie 13th, having collected 15 points after 12 matches (4W 3D 5L); Leganés lie 17th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Valladolid average 1.5 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 0.6 for and 1.5 against for Leganés.
- Form in the competition. Valladolid: 3W 3D 5L, goals 16–16; Leganés: 3W 3D 5L, goals 7–16.
- Head to head. In 15 previous meetings, Valladolid have taken 5 wins to Leganés's 6 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 19–27.
What to expect
In our view Valladolid hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.3%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 15; Valladolid 5 wins, 4 draws, Leganés 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Valladolid 16–16, Leganés 7–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Valladolid 0, Leganés 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Valladolid: no absences. Leganés will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Valladolid vs Leganés: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.00 | 3.64 | 4.00 |
| Market average | 1.94 | 3.44 | 3.84 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.32 | 70.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.04 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.75 | 53.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.93 | 3.64 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.83 | 50.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.87 | 49.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 2/11/26, 16:44. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Valladolid 1–1 Leganés, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Valladolid 13th (15 points), Leganés 17th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Valladolid 3W 3D 5L (16:16), Leganés 3W 3D 5L (7:16).
- H2H: 15 matches: Valladolid 5W 4D 6L, goals 19–27.
- Absences: Valladolid 0, Leganés 0.
Who will win Valladolid vs Leganés?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Valladolid vs Leganés: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Valladolid vs Leganés: injuries and missing players
Valladolid
- No reported absences
Leganés
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Valladolid
Home and away
Valladolid vs Leganés: last matches of both teams
Valladolid
Leganés
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ValladolidWLLWDLeganésLDLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Valladolid vs Leganés?
Leganés +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 2.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win Valladolid vs Leganés?
Our estimate gives Valladolid a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Leganés 24%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 2 November 2026 at 17:30, venue Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid. Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo.
Who will be missing?
Valladolid: no absences. Leganés: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.15) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.87).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.3%), then 1–0 (12.3%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.