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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction, odds and betting tip – 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Lincoln Red Imps FC10.50
XDraw5.65
2HNK Hajduk Split1.34

Top price available · Updated 5/11/26, 16:16

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Lincoln Red Imps FC welcome HNK Hajduk Split on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Europa Sports Park (Gibraltar), and the referee is Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland. HNK Hajduk Split (72%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.71
Chance 58% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
HNK Hajduk Split to win
1.34
Chance 72% · confidence high
Combo
HNK Hajduk Split with over 2.5 goals
2.05
49% · combo fair odds
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2) at a probability of 90%, with odds of up to 1.08.
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Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Lincoln Red Imps FC lie 22nd, having collected 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L); HNK Hajduk Split lie 13th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Lincoln Red Imps FC average 1.3 goals for and 2.0 against, compared with 2.8 for and 1.2 against for HNK Hajduk Split.
  3. Form in the competition. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–8; HNK Hajduk Split: 5W 1D 0L, goals 17–7.

What to expect

In our view HNK Hajduk Split hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (12.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 47%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Scored and conceded in this competition: Lincoln Red Imps FC 5–8, HNK Hajduk Split 17–7.
  2. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
  3. Unavailable: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.71). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Lincoln Red Imps FC: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available10.505.651.34
Market average9.565.311.30
Lowest odds7.624.801.25
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.1779.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.711.6357.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.362.2542.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.622.5137.3%
BTTS – yes2.001.9846.8%
BTTS – no1.751.7453.2%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:16. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.4%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lincoln Red Imps FC 22nd (3 points), HNK Hajduk Split 13th (6 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1W 0D 3L (5:8), HNK Hajduk Split 5W 1D 0L (17:7).
  • Absences: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Lincoln Red Imps FC10%
Draw18%
HNK Hajduk Split72%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: more betting tips

Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2)90.1% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.08
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.6% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
HNK Hajduk Split to win72.4% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.34
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.7% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.52
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.71
Possible
Both teams to score: no53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams to score: yes46.8% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.36
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.3% · fair odds 2.68 · best 2.62
Outsider
Draw17.7% · fair odds 5.64 · best 5.65
Outsider
Lincoln Red Imps FC to win9.9% · fair odds 10.10 · best 10.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.07
probability of over 55.0%

Correct score tips

0 : 212.5%
0 : 110.9%
0 : 39.6%
1 : 29.4%
1 : 18.2%
1 : 37.2%

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: injuries and missing players

Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • No reported absences

HNK Hajduk Split

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Lugano33-0-011:49
2Panathinaikos33-0-09:39
3Twente33-0-08:29
4Monaco33-0-07:19
5Brighton32-1-05:07
6Brann32-1-07:37
7FC Copenhagen32-1-07:37
8Universitatea Craiova32-1-06:27
9Mjällby AIF32-1-05:17
10St. Truiden32-1-04:17
11Ajax32-0-19:36
12Trabzonspor32-0-16:36
13HNK Hajduk Split32-0-13:26
14SC Freiburg32-0-14:56
15FK Crvena Zvezda31-1-16:64
16Atalanta31-1-14:44
17SC Braga31-1-12:34
18Gent31-1-11:24
19Riga30-3-03:33
20FC Thun31-0-23:33
21Borac Banja Luka31-0-23:43
22Lincoln Red Imps FC31-0-23:63
23FK Jablonec30-2-13:42
24Aarhus30-2-11:22
25FC Nordsjælland30-2-13:52
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë30-2-12:42
27Kairat Almaty30-2-13:72
28CSKA Sofia30-1-24:61
29FC Iberia 199930-1-22:51
30Pafos30-1-23:71
31Getafe30-1-23:71
32Heart Of Midlothian30-1-22:61
33KuPS30-1-22:61
34FC Midtjylland30-1-22:81
35Inter Club d'Escaldes30-0-32:70
36Kauno Žalgiris30-0-31:110

Recent matches

Lincoln Red Imps FC

5 NovWLincoln Red Imps FC 1–0 HNK Hajduk Split
22 OctLLincoln Red Imps FC 1–4 Twente
15 OctLBrann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
27 AugWLarne 0–3 Lincoln Red Imps FC
20 AugLLincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 Larne

HNK Hajduk Split

5 NovLLincoln Red Imps FC 1–0 HNK Hajduk Split
22 OctWFC Thun 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split
15 OctWHNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax
27 AugWRaków Częstochowa 2–3 HNK Hajduk Split
20 AugDHNK Hajduk Split 2–2 Raków Częstochowa

Home and away

Lincoln Red Imps FC at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–4
HNK Hajduk Split away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 1–1

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: last matches of both teams

Lincoln Red Imps FC

L 22/10/26 · Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–4 Twente
L 15/10/26 · Brann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
W 27/8/26 · Larne 0–3 Lincoln Red Imps FC
L 20/8/26 · Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 Larne

HNK Hajduk Split

W 22/10/26 · FC Thun 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split
W 15/10/26 · HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax
W 27/8/26 · Raków Częstochowa 2–3 HNK Hajduk Split
D 20/8/26 · HNK Hajduk Split 2–2 Raków Częstochowa

Team comparison

Lincoln Red Imps FCHNK Hajduk Split
19%Form81%
29%Attack71%
38%Defence62%
22.8%Overall77.3%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Lincoln Red Imps FCWLL
HNK Hajduk SplitLWW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.4%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Over 2.5 goals (1.71); HNK Hajduk Split to win (1.34).

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our estimate gives Lincoln Red Imps FC a 10% chance of winning, the draw 18% and HNK Hajduk Split 72%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Europa Sports Park, Gibraltar. Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland.

Who will be missing?

Lincoln Red Imps FC: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.71) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.36).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 47% (odds 2.00).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–2 (12.5%), then 0–1 (10.9%) and 0–3 (9.6%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.