Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lincoln Red Imps FC welcome HNK Hajduk Split on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Europa Sports Park (Gibraltar), and the referee is Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland. HNK Hajduk Split (72%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lincoln Red Imps FC lie 22nd, having collected 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L); HNK Hajduk Split lie 13th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Lincoln Red Imps FC average 1.3 goals for and 2.0 against, compared with 2.8 for and 1.2 against for HNK Hajduk Split.
- Form in the competition. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–8; HNK Hajduk Split: 5W 1D 0L, goals 17–7.
What to expect
In our view HNK Hajduk Split hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (12.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 47%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Lincoln Red Imps FC 5–8, HNK Hajduk Split 17–7.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.71). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lincoln Red Imps FC: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 10.50 | 5.65 | 1.34 |
| Market average | 9.56 | 5.31 | 1.30 |
| Lowest odds | 7.62 | 4.80 | 1.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.63 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.36 | 2.25 | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.51 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.98 | 46.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.75 | 1.74 | 53.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:16. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lincoln Red Imps FC 22nd (3 points), HNK Hajduk Split 13th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1W 0D 3L (5:8), HNK Hajduk Split 5W 1D 0L (17:7).
- Absences: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.
Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: injuries and missing players
Lincoln Red Imps FC
- No reported absences
HNK Hajduk Split
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 11:4 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:2 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:1 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:0 | 7 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:1 | 7 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:3 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:3 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 3:2 | 6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 4:5 | 6 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 6:6 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:4 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:2 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 0-3-0 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:4 | 2 | |
| 24 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 1:2 | 2 | |
| 25 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:5 | 2 | |
| 26 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 2:4 | 2 | |
| 27 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:7 | 2 | |
| 28 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:6 | 1 | |
| 29 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:5 | 1 | |
| 30 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:8 | 1 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Home and away
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: last matches of both teams
Lincoln Red Imps FC
HNK Hajduk Split
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Over 2.5 goals (1.71); HNK Hajduk Split to win (1.34).
Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our estimate gives Lincoln Red Imps FC a 10% chance of winning, the draw 18% and HNK Hajduk Split 72%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Europa Sports Park, Gibraltar. Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland.
Who will be missing?
Lincoln Red Imps FC: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.71) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.36).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 47% (odds 2.00).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (12.5%), then 0–1 (10.9%) and 0–3 (9.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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