Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Thun welcome HNK Hajduk Split on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stockhorn Arena (Thun), and the referee is Jarred Gillett, Australia. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. FC Thun lie 20th, having collected 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L); HNK Hajduk Split lie 13th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.45), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 63%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
- Unavailable: FC Thun 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 63%, top price 1.55). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for FC Thun: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.88 | 3.90 | 2.37 |
| Market average | 2.78 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.63 | 3.47 | 2.16 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.51 | 37.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.24 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.67 | 34.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FC Thun 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Thun 20th (3 points), HNK Hajduk Split 13th (6 points).
- Absences: FC Thun 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.
Who will win FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: injuries and missing players
FC Thun
- No reported absences
HNK Hajduk Split
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3-0-0 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjällby AIF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2-0-1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | 2-0-1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1-1-1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0-3-0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 | FC Thun | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0-2-1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjælland | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0-2-1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
FC Thun
Home and away
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: last matches of both teams
FC Thun
HNK Hajduk Split
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Over 2.5 goals (1.55); Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2) (1.47).
Who will win FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our estimate gives FC Thun a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HNK Hajduk Split 41%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Stockhorn Arena, Thun. Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia.
Who will be missing?
FC Thun: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.55) and under 2.5 goals at 37% (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.45).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.2%), then 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (7.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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