Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 25 October 2026 · 15:30 at Strandvallen (Hällevik), Mjällby AIF take on Hammarby FF, with Victor Wolf in charge. We make Hammarby FF (66%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Mjällby AIF win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Mjällby AIF lose by 1. Loses: Mjällby AIF lose by 2 or more.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Mjällby AIF lie 12th, having collected 27 points after 27 matches (6W 9D 12L); Hammarby FF lie 1st, having collected 58 points (18W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Mjällby AIF average 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 2.1 for and 0.9 against for Hammarby FF.
- Form in the competition. Mjällby AIF: 5W 8D 11L, goals 28–40; Hammarby FF: 14W 4D 6L, goals 50–21.
- Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, Mjällby AIF have taken 7 wins to Hammarby FF's 8 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 18–27.
What to expect
In our view Hammarby FF hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.58), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 17; Mjällby AIF 7 wins, 2 draws, Hammarby FF 8 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Mjällby AIF 28–40, Hammarby FF 50–21.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Mjällby AIF 4, Hammarby FF 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski, L. Tidstrand. Hammarby FF will be without: B. Hedlof. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 6.99 | 4.83 | 1.45 |
| Market average | 6.58 | 4.64 | 1.42 |
| Lowest odds | 6.45 | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.58 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.37 | 39.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.36 | 39.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Mjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Mjällby AIF 12th (27 points), Hammarby FF 1st (58 points).
- Form in the competition: Mjällby AIF 5W 8D 11L (28:40), Hammarby FF 14W 4D 6L (50:21).
- H2H: 17 matches: Mjällby AIF 7W 2D 8L, goals 18–27.
- Absences: Mjällby AIF 4, Hammarby FF 1.
Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: injuries and missing players
Mjällby AIF
- V. Dalsgaardinjury · will miss the match
- M. Isakssonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Stavitskiback injury · will miss the match
- L. Tidstrandabsence · will miss the match
Hammarby FF
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 | |
| 2 | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 | |
| 3 | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 | |
| 4 | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 | |
| 5 | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 | |
| 6 | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 | |
| 7 | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 | |
| 8 | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 | |
| 9 | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 | |
| 10 | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 | |
| 11 | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 | |
| 12 | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 | |
| 13 | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 | |
| 14 | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 | |
| 15 | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 | |
| 16 | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Mjällby AIF
Home and away
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: last matches of both teams
Mjällby AIF
Hammarby FF
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Mjällby AIF +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Over 2.5 goals (1.58).
Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Our estimate gives Mjällby AIF a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hammarby FF 66%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 15:30, venue Strandvallen, Hällevik. Referee: Victor Wolf.
Who will be missing?
Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski, L. Tidstrand. Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.58) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.
Bet with Freshbet →