Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF, 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Gamla Ullevi (Gothenburg), with Sajad Al Hakim officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Örgryte IS lie 15th, having collected 19 points after 27 matches (4W 7D 16L); Mjällby AIF lie 12th, having collected 27 points (6W 9D 12L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Örgryte IS average 1.2 goals for and 2.2 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.7 against for Mjällby AIF.
- Form in the competition. Örgryte IS: 4W 7D 14L, goals 31–56; Mjällby AIF: 5W 8D 12L, goals 28–42.
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Örgryte IS have taken 1 win to Mjällby AIF's 3 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 5–8.
What to expect
In our view Mjällby AIF hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.1%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.79), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; Örgryte IS 1 win, 1 draw, Mjällby AIF 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Örgryte IS 31–56, Mjällby AIF 28–42.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: Örgryte IS 4, Mjällby AIF 2.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.99). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Örgryte IS: A. Abukar, R. Alm, W. Svensson, J. Tibbling. Mjällby AIF will be without: V. Dalsgaard, T. Stavitski. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.27 | 3.54 | 2.29 |
| Market average | 3.11 | 3.42 | 2.18 |
| Lowest odds | 2.81 | 3.16 | 2.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.25 | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.84 | 51.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.94 | 48.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.37 | 3.07 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.79 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Örgryte IS 1–1 Mjällby AIF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Örgryte IS 15th (19 points), Mjällby AIF 12th (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Örgryte IS 4W 7D 14L (31:56), Mjällby AIF 5W 8D 12L (28:42).
- H2H: 5 matches: Örgryte IS 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–8.
- Absences: Örgryte IS 4, Mjällby AIF 2.
Who will win Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: injuries and missing players
Örgryte IS
- A. Abukarknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Alminjury · will miss the match
- W. Svenssonfoot injury · will miss the match
- J. Tibblingmuscle injury · doubtful
Mjällby AIF
- V. Dalsgaardinjury · will miss the match
- T. Stavitskiback injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 | Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 | Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Örgryte IS
Home and away
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: last matches of both teams
Örgryte IS
Mjällby AIF
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Örgryte ISLLDWLMjällby AIFDWLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
Over 2.5 goals (1.99); Draw or Mjällby AIF (X2) (1.39).
Who will win Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
Our estimate gives Örgryte IS a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mjällby AIF 43%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg. Referee: Sajad Al Hakim.
Who will be missing?
Örgryte IS: A. Abukar, R. Alm, W. Svensson, J. Tibbling. Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, T. Stavitski. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.99) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.79).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.1%), then 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.