Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 6–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Aker Stadion (Molde), Molde take on Start, with Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway in charge. We make Molde (71%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Molde vs Start: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Molde lie 3rd, having collected 43 points after 25 matches (13W 4D 8L); Start lie 16th, having collected 19 points (5W 4D 16L).
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Molde have taken 5 wins to Start's 0 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 24–9.
What to expect
In our view Molde hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 59% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Molde 5 wins, 3 draws, Start 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 4.1 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
- Unavailable: Molde 0, Start 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.94). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Molde: no absences. Start will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Molde vs Start: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.35 | 5.89 | 8.17 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.39 | 7.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.34 | 69.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.22 | 3.04 | 30.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Molde 2–1 Start, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Molde 3rd (43 points), Start 16th (19 points).
- H2H: 8 matches: Molde 5W 3D 0L, goals 24–9.
- Absences: Molde 0, Start 0.
Who will win Molde vs Start?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Molde vs Start: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Molde vs Start: injuries and missing players
Molde
- No reported absences
Start
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 | Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 | Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Molde
Home and away
Molde vs Start: last matches of both teams
Molde
Start
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Molde vs Start?
Start +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Molde vs Start?
Our estimate gives Molde a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Start 12%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 16:00, venue Aker Stadion, Molde. Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Molde: no absences. Start: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.37) and under 2.5 goals at 31% (odds 3.22).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.3%), then 2–0 (9.3%) and 3–1 (7.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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