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Eliteserien · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 16:00

Start vs Sandefjord: prediction, odds and betting tip – 25 October 2026, Eliteserien

LWLLL
1–0
1Start2.42
XDraw4.05
2Sandefjord2.75

Top price available · Updated 25/10/26, 12:04

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Start vs Sandefjord, 25 October 2026 · 16:00 at Sør Arena (Kristiansand), with Rohit Saggi officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Start vs Sandefjord: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Start +0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.52
Chance 65% · confidence high

Wins: Start win, a draw. Loses: Start lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.55
Chance 62% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
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Start vs Sandefjord: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Start lie 16th, having collected 19 points after 25 matches (5W 4D 16L); Sandefjord lie 12th, having collected 27 points (7W 6D 12L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Start average 1.1 goals for and 2.3 against, compared with 1.0 for and 1.3 against for Sandefjord.
  3. Form in the competition. Start: 4W 4D 15L, goals 25–54; Sandefjord: 6W 6D 11L, goals 22–30.
  4. Head to head. In 11 previous meetings, Start have taken 2 wins to Sandefjord's 5 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 11–20.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Sandefjord, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 11; Start 2 wins, 4 draws, Sandefjord 5 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Start 25–54, Sandefjord 22–30.
  4. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
  5. Unavailable: Start 4, Sandefjord 5.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 62%, top price 1.58). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, E. Segberg, K. Tonnesen. Sandefjord will be without: D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, E. Hadaya. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Start vs Sandefjord: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.424.052.75
Market average2.343.772.64
Lowest odds2.253.502.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1780.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5859.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.462.3340.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.502.4538.2%
BTTS – yes1.551.5062.0%
BTTS – no2.632.4538.0%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Start 1–1 Sandefjord, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Start 16th (19 points), Sandefjord 12th (27 points).
  • Form in the competition: Start 4W 4D 15L (25:54), Sandefjord 6W 6D 11L (22:30).
  • H2H: 11 matches: Start 2W 4D 5L, goals 11–20.
  • Absences: Start 4, Sandefjord 5.

Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?

Start40%
Draw25%
Sandefjord35%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Start vs Sandefjord: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.1% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Start or draw (1X)64.6% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams to score: yes62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.58
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.5% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.62
Possible
Under 2.5 goals40.5% · fair odds 2.47 · best 2.46
Outsider
Start to win39.9% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.2% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.50
Outsider
Both teams to score: no38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.63
Outsider
Sandefjord to win35.4% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw24.8% · fair odds 4.04 · best 4.05
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.85 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.5%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.8%
2 : 18.6%
1 : 28.1%
1 : 07.2%
0 : 16.8%
2 : 26.5%

Start vs Sandefjord: injuries and missing players

Start

  • J. Husebofoot injury · will miss the match
  • F. Manojlovicabsence · will miss the match
  • E. Segbergabsence · will miss the match
  • K. Tonnesenabsence · will miss the match

Sandefjord

  • D. Koswalknee injury · will miss the match
  • F. Loftesnes-Bjunethigh injury · will miss the match
  • M. Melchiorknee injury · will miss the match
  • N. Mollerankle injury · will miss the match
  • E. Hadayainjury · doubtful

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Start

1 NovLStart 0–1 Lillestrøm
25 OctWStart 1–0 Sandefjord
18 OctLMolde 6–1 Start
11 OctLStart 2–4 Ham-Kam
20 SeptLSandefjord 3–0 Start

Sandefjord

31 OctWAalesund 3–4 Sandefjord
25 OctLStart 1–0 Sandefjord
18 OctLSandefjord 0–2 Lillestrøm
10 OctDRosenborg 1–1 Sandefjord
20 SeptWSandefjord 3–0 Start

Home and away

Start at home13 matches: 4W 3D 6L, goals 15–20
Sandefjord away13 matches: 4W 1D 8L, goals 16–22

Start vs Sandefjord: last matches of both teams

Start

L 1/11/26 · Start 0–1 Lillestrøm
L 18/10/26 · Molde 6–1 Start
L 11/10/26 · Start 2–4 Ham-Kam
L 20/9/26 · Sandefjord 3–0 Start

Sandefjord

W 31/10/26 · Aalesund 3–4 Sandefjord
L 18/10/26 · Sandefjord 0–2 Lillestrøm
D 10/10/26 · Rosenborg 1–1 Sandefjord
W 20/9/26 · Sandefjord 3–0 Start

Team comparison

StartSandefjord
38%Form63%
42%Attack58%
32%Defence68%
29%Head to head71%
33%Goals67%
36.7%Overall63.5%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

StartLWLLL
SandefjordWLLDW

Head to head

All matches
2Start
4Draws
5Sandefjord
25/10/26 · Start 1–0 Sandefjord
20/9/26 · Sandefjord 3–0 Start
8/3/26 · Sandefjord 3–2 Start
5/3/23 · Start 1–0 Sandefjord
2/5/21 · Start 1–1 Sandefjord
24/10/20 · Start 0–1 Sandefjord

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Start vs Sandefjord?

Start +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.52); Both teams to score (1.55).

Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?

Our estimate gives Start a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sandefjord 35%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 16:00, venue Sør Arena, Kristiansand. Referee: Rohit Saggi.

Who will be missing?

Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, E. Segberg, K. Tonnesen. Sandefjord: D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, E. Hadaya. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.46).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.55).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.