Padova vs Empoli: prediction, odds and betting tip – 7 November 2026, Serie B

Padova vs Empoli preview and prediction

Padova welcome Empoli on 7 November 2026, with the match set at Stadio Euganeo in Serie B. Both teams have averaged a goal each per match this campaign, and Padova allow marginally fewer goals than their visitors. There are no reported injuries, so the result will likely depend on current performance, the benefit of playing at home, and the narrow differentials of the Asian handicap.

Recent performance of Padova and Empoli

Padova occupy the ninth spot, having amassed 14 points after ten fixtures (4‑2‑4). So far they have secured four victories, drawn twice and been beaten four times, netting ten goals while allowing eleven, which works out to an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.1 goals let in each match. At their own ground they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, with an even five‑goal tally for and against.

Empoli sit eighteenth, having collected eight points after ten fixtures (2‑2‑6). Their record comprises two victories, two stalemates and six setbacks, netting ten goals while allowing seventeen, which translates to an average of 1.0 goal for and 1.7 against per match. On the road they have secured one triumph, one draw and three defeats, finding the net five times and conceding eight.

Padova’s previous five outings consist of a 1‑1 stalemate at Catanzaro on 31 Oct, a 2‑0 triumph on their own turf against Südtirol on 27 Oct, a 1‑0 win away at Avellino on 24 Oct, a 1‑2 defeat on home ground to Virtus Entella on 17 Oct, and a 0‑2 setback at home versus Carrarese on 11 Oct.
Empoli’s last five matches feature a 2‑2 draw at home versus Juve Stabia on 1 Nov, a 2‑1 loss away to Cesena on 27 Oct, a 0‑2 home defeat to Vicenza Virtus on 23 Oct, a 1‑1 away draw with Ascoli on 17 Oct, and a 2‑4 loss at home to Palermo on 10 Oct.

Padova meets Empoli – past encounters

The sides faced each other two times this campaign. Padova secured a 1‑0 victory at their ground on 12 April 2026, whereas Empoli responded with a 3‑1 win away on 23 August 2025. The combined result stands at 3‑2 to Empori, showing a modest attacking advantage for the guests in earlier encounters.

Betting lines and Asian spread

Win probabilities derived from the odds are: Padova 43 % (best odds 2.20), draw 29 % (best odds 3.38) and Empoli 28 % (best odds 3.44). The Asian handicap market shows Padova -0.25 at odds 1.93 with an implied 51 % chance, while Empoli +0.25 offers 49 % at odds 1.98. Other lines include Padova -0.5 (44 % at 2.20) and -0.75 (38 % at 2.60); Empoli +0.5 (56 % at 1.72) and +0.75 (62 % at 1.52). The draw‑no‑bet line Padova +0 stands at odds 1.58 (61 % chance of not losing), and Padova +0.25 at odds 1.42 (67 % chance of win or draw).

Goal markets reveal: over 1.5 goals 72 % (odds 1.34), under 1.5 goals 28 % (odds 3.40); over 2.5 goals 48 % (odds 2.05), under 2.5 goals 52 % (odds 1.84); over 3.5 goals 28 % (odds 3.54), under 3.5 goals 72 % (odds 1.31). Both teams to score carries a 53 % chance (odds 1.78) against a 47 % chance for no‑BTTS (odds 2.01). Expected goals round to a 1‑1 draw, implying roughly two goals overall. The most probable exact results are 1‑1 (12.5 %), 1‑0 (11.3 %) and 2‑1 (9.0 %).

Primary recommendation and additional suggestion

Padova -0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.93 (chance 51 %). Padova’s superior defensive record (1.1 conceded per game versus Empoli’s 1.7), together with playing at home and an increased chance of victory, justifies a slight handicap for them. The -0.25 market settles fully on a Padova win and returns half of the stake if the match ends in a draw, providing an even‑odds risk‑return balance.

ANOTHER SUGGESTION: Expect a goal from each side, odds 1.78 (probability 53 %). In their previous five games, both clubs have consistently scored, and the xG analysis forecasts a single goal per team, indicating a high likelihood of a BTTS result.

Additional wagers to consider

• Safer option: Padova +0 (no‑draw‑bet) with odds 1.58, implying a 61 % probability that Padova avoids defeat.
• Alternative value: Under 2.5 goals at odds 1.84 (probability 52 %). The forecasted goal tally close to two backs this selection.
• Goals market: Over 1.5 goals carries a 72 % probability at odds 1.34, while under 1.5 goals has a 28 % chance at odds 3.40.
• Exact score ideas: The three likeliest outcomes are 1‑1, 1‑0 and 2‑1, which together comprise upwards of 33 % of the overall likelihood.

Considering Padova’s modest home record and Empoli’s struggles away from home, the match is set to be tightly contested. Padova’s slightly tighter defence and the marginally higher win probability make the -0.25 Asian handicap an attractive choice, while the consistent scoring of both teams justifies the BTTS recommendation.