Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Catanzaro vs Padova, 31 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro), with Niccolò Turrini officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Catanzaro vs Padova: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Catanzaro lie 20th, having collected 6 points after 10 matches (1W 3D 6L); Padova lie 9th, having collected 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Catanzaro average 1.1 goals for and 2.3 against, compared with 1.0 for and 1.1 against for Padova.
- Form in the competition. Catanzaro: 1W 2D 6L, goals 10–21; Padova: 4W 1D 4L, goals 9–10.
- Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, Catanzaro have taken 1 win to Padova's 3 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 6–7.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Padova, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 7; Catanzaro 1 win, 3 draws, Padova 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Catanzaro 10–21, Padova 9–10.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: Catanzaro 0, Padova 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Catanzaro: no absences. Padova will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Catanzaro vs Padova: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.41 | 3.45 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.34 | 2.92 |
| Lowest odds | 2.21 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.77 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.03 | 46.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.87 | 32.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 07:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Catanzaro 1–1 Padova, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Catanzaro 20th (6 points), Padova 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Catanzaro 1W 2D 6L (10:21), Padova 4W 1D 4L (9:10).
- H2H: 7 matches: Catanzaro 1W 3D 3L, goals 6–7.
- Absences: Catanzaro 0, Padova 0.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Padova?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Catanzaro vs Padova: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Catanzaro vs Padova: injuries and missing players
Catanzaro
- No reported absences
Padova
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Catanzaro
Home and away
Catanzaro vs Padova: last matches of both teams
Catanzaro
Padova
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
CatanzaroDDLDLPadovaDWWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Catanzaro vs Padova?
Over 2.5 goals (1.85); Catanzaro or draw (1X) (1.42).
Who will win Catanzaro vs Padova?
Our estimate gives Catanzaro a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Padova 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 16:15, venue Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro. Referee: Niccolò Turrini.
Who will be missing?
Catanzaro: no absences. Padova: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.85) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 1–0 (9.1%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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