Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Portugalete vs Real Unión (Copa del Rey, 18 November 2026, 18:00): Portugalete or draw (1X) at odds of 1.60. Second tip: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.73. The bookmakers' odds give Portugalete 30%, the draw 29% and Real Unión 40%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Portugalete vs Real Unión: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Portugalete have taken 1 win to Real Unión's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 4–3.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.7%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.73), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 45%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 3; Portugalete 1 win, 1 draw, Real Unión 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
- Unavailable: Portugalete 0, Real Unión 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.81). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Portugalete: no absences. Real Unión will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Portugalete vs Real Unión: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.35 |
| Market average | 3.06 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| Lowest odds | 2.97 | 3.00 | 2.23 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.33 | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.06 | 45.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.57 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.81 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 4/11/26, 16:52. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Portugalete 1–1 Real Unión, roughly 2 goals in total.
- H2H: 3 matches: Portugalete 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–3.
- Absences: Portugalete 0, Real Unión 0.
Who will win Portugalete vs Real Unión?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Portugalete vs Real Unión: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Portugalete vs Real Unión: injuries and missing players
Portugalete
- No reported absences
Real Unión
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Head to head
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Portugalete vs Real Unión?
Portugalete or draw (1X) (1.60); Under 2.5 goals (1.73).
Who will win Portugalete vs Real Unión?
Our estimate gives Portugalete a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Real Unión 40%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 November 2026 at 18:00, venue Estadio La Florida, Portugalete.
Who will be missing?
Portugalete: no absences. Real Unión: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.10) and under 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.73).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.81).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.7%), then 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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