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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 20:00

Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Recreativo Huelva
2–3
1Recreativo Huelva7.00
XDraw4.70
2Rayo Vallecano1.49

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Recreativo Huelva welcome Rayo Vallecano on 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Nuevo Colombino (Huelva). Rayo Vallecano (64%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Recreativo Huelva +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.70
Chance 57% · confidence medium

Wins: Recreativo Huelva win, a draw, Recreativo Huelva lose by 1. Loses: Recreativo Huelva lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
Chance 64% · confidence medium
Combo
Rayo Vallecano with over 2.5 goals
2.36
42% · combo fair odds
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Rayo Vallecano (X2) at a probability of 85%, with odds of up to 1.12.
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Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

    What to expect

    In our view Rayo Vallecano hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (11.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

    On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.

    The prediction at a glance

    1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
    2. Unavailable: Recreativo Huelva 0, Rayo Vallecano 0.

    Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

    Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

    Absences

    Unavailable for Recreativo Huelva: no absences. Rayo Vallecano will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

    Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: bookmaker odds side by side

    Match result1X2
    Top price available7.004.701.49
    Market average6.384.381.43
    Lowest odds5.423.931.40
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.221.1877.7%
    Over 2.5 goals1.651.6357.1%
    Under 2.5 goals2.252.1742.9%
    Over 3.5 goals2.632.5336.4%
    BTTS – yes1.801.7951.9%
    BTTS – no2.001.9348.1%

    Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.5%.

    All bookmakers →

    The key facts

    • Likely result: Recreativo Huelva 0–2 Rayo Vallecano, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Recreativo Huelva 0, Rayo Vallecano 0.

    Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?

    Recreativo Huelva15%
    Draw21%
    Rayo Vallecano64%

    We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

    Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: more betting tips

    Draw or Rayo Vallecano (X2)85.5% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.12
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals77.7% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.22
    Likely
    Rayo Vallecano to win64.4% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.49
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals63.6% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.50
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals57.1% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.65
    Possible
    Both teams to score: yes51.9% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.80
    Possible
    Both teams to score: no48.1% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.00
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals42.9% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.25
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals36.4% · fair odds 2.75 · best 2.63
    Outsider
    Draw21.1% · fair odds 4.75 · best 4.70
    Outsider
    Recreativo Huelva to win14.5% · fair odds 6.88 · best 7.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

    Corners and cards betting

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 1.88 · Under 1.83
    probability of over 49.2%

    Correct score tips

    0 : 211.0%
    0 : 110.7%
    1 : 29.9%
    1 : 19.7%
    0 : 37.5%
    1 : 36.8%

    Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: injuries and missing players

    Recreativo Huelva

    • No reported absences

    Rayo Vallecano

    • No reported absences

    Team news can still change before the game.

    Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: last matches of both teams

    Recreativo Huelva

    Rayo Vallecano

    W 31/10/26 · Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo
    L 24/10/26 · Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche
    D 19/10/26 · Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
    D 19/9/26 · Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
    W 15/9/26 · Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.5%

    Questions and answers

    Which tip do we give for Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?

    Recreativo Huelva +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.70); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).

    Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?

    Our estimate gives Recreativo Huelva a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rayo Vallecano 64%.

    What is the date, time and venue of the game?

    Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Nuevo Colombino, Huelva.

    Who will be missing?

    Recreativo Huelva: no absences. Rayo Vallecano: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

    We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.25).

    Will both teams score?

    We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.80).

    What correct score do we see as likeliest?

    Top of our list is 0–2 (11.0%), then 0–1 (10.7%) and 1–2 (9.9%).

    How do you put your predictions together?

    Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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    18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.