Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Municipal El Val (Alcalá de Henares), RSD Alcalá take on Las Palmas. We make Las Palmas (61%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: RSD Alcalá win, a draw, RSD Alcalá lose by 1. Loses: RSD Alcalá lose by 2 or more.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view Las Palmas hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (11.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: RSD Alcalá 0, Las Palmas 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for RSD Alcalá: no absences. Las Palmas will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.80 | 4.50 | 1.57 |
| Market average | 5.45 | 4.17 | 1.52 |
| Lowest odds | 4.90 | 3.71 | 1.46 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 75.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.73 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.92 | 2.75 | 33.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.81 | 51.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.91 | 48.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: RSD Alcalá 0–1 Las Palmas, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: RSD Alcalá 0, Las Palmas 0.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: injuries and missing players
RSD Alcalá
- No reported absences
Las Palmas
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: last matches of both teams
RSD Alcalá
Las Palmas
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
RSD Alcalá +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.65); Over 2.5 goals (1.76).
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
Our estimate gives RSD Alcalá a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Las Palmas 61%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Estadio Municipal El Val, Alcalá de Henares.
Who will be missing?
RSD Alcalá: no absences. Las Palmas: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.76) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (11.6%), then 0–2 (11.0%) and 1–1 (10.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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