Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City, 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Showgrounds (Sligo), with D. Toland officiating. The odds point to Derry City (60%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Sligo Rovers win, a draw. Stake back: Sligo Rovers lose by 1. Loses: Sligo Rovers lose by 2 or more.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sligo Rovers lie 10th, having collected 25 points after 36 matches (5W 10D 21L); Derry City lie 5th, having collected 48 points (11W 15D 10L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Sligo Rovers average 0.7 goals for and 1.8 against, compared with 1.4 for and 1.3 against for Derry City.
- Form in the competition. Sligo Rovers: 5W 9D 21L, goals 26–64; Derry City: 11W 14D 10L, goals 48–45.
- Head to head. In 34 previous meetings, Sligo Rovers have taken 9 wins to Derry City's 14 wins, plus 11 draws; the goal tally stands at 30–40.
What to expect
In our view Derry City hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 34; Sligo Rovers 9 wins, 11 draws, Derry City 14 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Sligo Rovers 26–64, Derry City 48–45.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: Sligo Rovers 0, Derry City 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sligo Rovers: no absences. Derry City will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.59 | 4.42 | 1.57 |
| Market average | 5.12 | 4.16 | 1.55 |
| Lowest odds | 4.73 | 3.73 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.20 | 42.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sligo Rovers 1–1 Derry City, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sligo Rovers 10th (25 points), Derry City 5th (48 points).
- Form in the competition: Sligo Rovers 5W 9D 21L (26:64), Derry City 11W 14D 10L (48:45).
- H2H: 34 matches: Sligo Rovers 9W 11D 14L, goals 30–40.
- Absences: Sligo Rovers 0, Derry City 0.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: injuries and missing players
Sligo Rovers
- No reported absences
Derry City
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athletic | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Sligo Rovers
Home and away
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: last matches of both teams
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Sligo RoversDLDLLDerry CityDWWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Sligo Rovers +1 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our estimate gives Sligo Rovers a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derry City 60%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 30 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Showgrounds, Sligo. Referee: D. Toland.
Who will be missing?
Sligo Rovers: no absences. Derry City: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.67) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.2%), then 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–2 (10.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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