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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 21 October 2026 · 20:00

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: prediction, odds and betting tip – 21 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

1Sporting CP1.37
XDraw6.00
2Lask Linz8.76

Top price available · Updated 21/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon), Sporting CP take on Lask Linz, with Nick Walsh, Scotland in charge. We make Sporting CP (71%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
Chance 61% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Sporting CP to win
1.37
Chance 71% · confidence high
Combo
Sporting CP with over 2.5 goals
1.78
56% · combo fair odds
2–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sporting CP or draw (1X) at a probability of 88%, with odds of up to 1.10.
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Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Sporting CP lie 10th, having collected 9 points after 4 matches (3W 0D 1L); Lask Linz lie 16th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. In 4 previous meetings, Sporting CP have taken 1 win to Lask Linz's 3 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 5–11.

What to expect

In our view Sporting CP hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 4; Sporting CP 1 win, 0 draws, Lask Linz 3 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 4.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
  4. Unavailable: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.

Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals

Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.86). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Sporting CP: no absences. Lask Linz will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.376.008.76
Market average1.345.618.12
Lowest odds1.325.007.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.081.0588.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.331.2972.5%
Under 2.5 goals3.593.4127.5%
Over 3.5 goals1.861.8053.0%
BTTS – yes1.671.5360.7%
BTTS – no2.452.3739.3%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 21/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.8%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Sporting CP 2–1 Lask Linz, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Sporting CP 10th (9 points), Lask Linz 16th (6 points).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Sporting CP 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–11.
  • Absences: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.

Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Sporting CP71%
Draw17%
Lask Linz12%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: more betting tips

Sporting CP or draw (1X)88.2% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 1.5 goals88.0% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.08
Likely
Over 2.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Sporting CP to win71.2% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.37
Likely
Both teams to score: yes60.7% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.67
Likely
Over 3.5 goals53.0% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.86
Possible
Under 3.5 goals47.0% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.10
Outsider
Both teams to score: no39.3% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.45
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals27.5% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.59
Outsider
Draw17.1% · fair odds 5.86 · best 6.00
Outsider
Lask Linz to win11.8% · fair odds 8.49 · best 8.76
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.72 · Under 2.03
probability of over 54.1%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.79 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.2%

Correct score tips

2 : 19.1%
2 : 08.7%
3 : 18.1%
3 : 07.7%
1 : 16.9%
1 : 06.6%

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: injuries and missing players

Sporting CP

  • No reported absences

Lask Linz

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain44-0-020:512
2Real Madrid44-0-013:712
3Arsenal43-1-08:310
4Como43-0-119:69
5Barcelona43-0-114:69
6Aston Villa43-0-112:69
7Manchester City43-0-112:79
8Liverpool43-0-114:109
9Club Brugge KV43-0-111:79
10Sporting CP43-0-18:49
11Real Betis43-0-18:69
12Borussia Dortmund43-0-17:59
13Bayern München42-2-012:58
14VfB Stuttgart42-1-17:47
15Inter42-0-28:66
16Lask Linz42-0-210:96
17Manchester United42-0-28:86
18Galatasaray42-0-28:96
19Fenerbahçe41-2-16:115
20AS Roma41-1-210:84
21Shakhtar Donetsk41-1-24:44
22Viking41-1-29:104
23Atlético Madrid41-1-24:54
24PSV Eindhoven41-1-23:44
25Bodø/Glimt41-1-24:94
26FC Porto41-0-36:73
27Napoli41-0-36:113
28Villarreal41-0-38:143
29AEK Athens FC41-0-35:113
30RB Leipzig41-0-35:113
31Sabah FA41-0-34:103
32Feyenoord41-0-34:113
33Lens41-0-34:163
34Slavia Praha40-1-35:91
35Lille40-1-34:101
36Slovan Bratislava40-0-41:170

Recent matches

Sporting CP

3 NovWShakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Sporting CP
30 OctWCasa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP
25 OctLSporting CP 1–2 Académico Viseu
21 OctLSporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz
13 OctWLens 0–2 Sporting CP

Lask Linz

3 NovWLask Linz 4–0 Slovan Bratislava
21 OctWSporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz
14 OctLLask Linz 3–6 Liverpool
8 SeptLAEK Athens FC 1–0 Lask Linz
25 AugWLask Linz 5–1 Celtic

Home and away

Sporting CP at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 5–4
Lask Linz away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–3

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: last matches of both teams

Sporting CP

W 3/11/26 · Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Sporting CP
W 30/10/26 · Casa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP
L 25/10/26 · Sporting CP 1–2 Académico Viseu
W 13/10/26 · Lens 0–2 Sporting CP

Lask Linz

W 3/11/26 · Lask Linz 4–0 Slovan Bratislava
L 14/10/26 · Lask Linz 3–6 Liverpool
L 8/9/26 · AEK Athens FC 1–0 Lask Linz
W 25/8/26 · Lask Linz 5–1 Celtic

Head to head

All matches
1Sporting CP
0Draws
3Lask Linz
21/10/26 · Sporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz
1/10/20 · Sporting CP 1–4 Lask Linz
12/12/19 · Lask Linz 3–0 Sporting CP
3/10/19 · Sporting CP 2–1 Lask Linz

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.8%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Both teams to score (1.67); Sporting CP to win (1.37).

Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Our estimate gives Sporting CP a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Lask Linz 12%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 21 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon. Referee: Nick Walsh, Scotland.

Who will be missing?

Sporting CP: no absences. Lask Linz: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.33) and under 2.5 goals at 27% (odds 3.59).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.67).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–1 (9.1%), then 2–0 (8.7%) and 3–1 (8.1%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.