Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon), Sporting CP take on Lask Linz, with Nick Walsh, Scotland in charge. We make Sporting CP (71%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sporting CP lie 10th, having collected 9 points after 4 matches (3W 0D 1L); Lask Linz lie 16th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. In 4 previous meetings, Sporting CP have taken 1 win to Lask Linz's 3 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 5–11.
What to expect
In our view Sporting CP hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 4; Sporting CP 1 win, 0 draws, Lask Linz 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 4.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
- Unavailable: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.86). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sporting CP: no absences. Lask Linz will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.37 | 6.00 | 8.76 |
| Market average | 1.34 | 5.61 | 8.12 |
| Lowest odds | 1.32 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.05 | 88.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.59 | 3.41 | 27.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.80 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.37 | 39.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 21/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sporting CP 2–1 Lask Linz, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sporting CP 10th (9 points), Lask Linz 16th (6 points).
- H2H: 4 matches: Sporting CP 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–11.
- Absences: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: injuries and missing players
Sporting CP
- No reported absences
Lask Linz
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 | |
| 8 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 | |
| 9 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 | |
| 10 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 | |
| 11 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 | |
| 12 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 | |
| 13 | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 | |
| 15 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 | |
| 19 | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 | |
| 20 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 | |
| 21 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 | |
| 22 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 | |
| 23 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 | |
| 24 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 | |
| 25 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 | |
| 26 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 | |
| 27 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 | |
| 28 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 | |
| 29 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 | |
| 30 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 | |
| 31 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 | |
| 32 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 | |
| 33 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 | |
| 34 | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 | |
| 35 | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 | |
| 36 | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Recent matches
Sporting CP
Home and away
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: last matches of both teams
Sporting CP
Lask Linz
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
Both teams to score (1.67); Sporting CP to win (1.37).
Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
Our estimate gives Sporting CP a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Lask Linz 12%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon. Referee: Nick Walsh, Scotland.
Who will be missing?
Sporting CP: no absences. Lask Linz: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.33) and under 2.5 goals at 27% (odds 3.59).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.1%), then 2–0 (8.7%) and 3–1 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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