Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea), Swansea take on West Ham, with Josh Smith, England in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Swansea win, a draw. Loses: Swansea lose.
Swansea vs West Ham: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Swansea lie 5th, having collected 26 points after 14 matches (8W 2D 4L); West Ham lie 8th, having collected 23 points (6W 5D 3L).
What to expect
In our view West Ham hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Swansea 0, West Ham 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.76). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Swansea: no absences. West Ham will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Swansea vs West Ham: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.54 | 3.76 | 2.20 |
| Market average | 3.24 | 3.60 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.73 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.06 | 45.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.75 | 33.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Swansea 1–1 West Ham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swansea 5th (26 points), West Ham 8th (23 points).
- Absences: Swansea 0, West Ham 0.
Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Swansea vs West Ham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Swansea vs West Ham: injuries and missing players
Swansea
- No reported absences
West Ham
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Swansea
Home and away
Swansea vs West Ham: last matches of both teams
Swansea
West Ham
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Swansea vs West Ham?
Swansea +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?
Our estimate gives Swansea a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and West Ham 45%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea. Referee: Josh Smith, England.
Who will be missing?
Swansea: no absences. West Ham: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.76) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.6%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (9.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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