Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Loftus Road (London), QPR take on Swansea, with Sam Allison, England in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Swansea win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Swansea lose.
QPR vs Swansea: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. QPR lie 11th, having collected 21 points after 14 matches (5W 6D 3L); Swansea lie 5th, having collected 26 points (8W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, QPR average 1.4 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 1.5 for and 0.7 against for Swansea.
- Form in the competition. QPR: 4W 5D 2L, goals 15–12; Swansea: 7W 2D 2L, goals 16–8.
- Head to head. In 24 previous meetings, QPR have taken 8 wins to Swansea's 10 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 29–32.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Swansea, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 24; QPR 8 wins, 6 draws, Swansea 10 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: QPR 15–12, Swansea 16–8.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: QPR 6, Swansea 3.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.92). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for QPR: R. Burrell, I. Chair, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, K. Dembele. Swansea will be without: C. Burgess, J. Key, Ronald. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
QPR vs Swansea: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.50 | 3.49 | 3.03 |
| Market average | 2.42 | 3.34 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.79 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.91 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.87 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.23 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: QPR 1–1 Swansea, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: QPR 11th (21 points), Swansea 5th (26 points).
- Form in the competition: QPR 4W 5D 2L (15:12), Swansea 7W 2D 2L (16:8).
- H2H: 24 matches: QPR 8W 6D 10L, goals 29–32.
- Absences: QPR 6, Swansea 3.
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
QPR vs Swansea: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
QPR vs Swansea: injuries and missing players
QPR
- R. Burrellnot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Chairmuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Lampteynot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Madseninjury · will miss the match
- A. S. Mbengueknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Dembeleabsence · doubtful
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- J. Keymuscle injury · will miss the match
- Ronaldhamstring injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
QPR
Home and away
QPR vs Swansea: last matches of both teams
QPR
Swansea
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
QPRDLWLWSwanseaLWLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for QPR vs Swansea?
Swansea +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
Our estimate gives QPR a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Swansea 33%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Loftus Road, London. Referee: Sam Allison, England.
Who will be missing?
QPR: R. Burrell, I. Chair, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, K. Dembele. Swansea: C. Burgess, J. Key, Ronald. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.96) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.92).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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