Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Torino vs Lecce (Serie A, 7 November 2026, 14:00): Lecce +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.85. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.82. The bookmakers' odds give Torino 52%, the draw 26% and Lecce 22%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Lecce win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Lecce lose by 1. Loses: Lecce lose by 2 or more.
Torino vs Lecce preview and prediction
The numbers lean towards Torino, but not by much. The bookmakers expect about 2 goals from the home side and 1 from Lecce, roughly 3 in total, and the most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 11.7%, 1-0 at 11.7% and 2-1 at 9.6%. That is a match where the favourite is clear on paper and the likeliest results sit close to each other. Torino host Lecce at the Stadio Olimpico di Torino on 7 November 2026, kick-off 14:00, in Serie A Matchweek 11.
The key facts
- Likely result: Torino 1–1 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Torino 10th (13 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Torino 4W 1D 5L (14:16), Lecce 3W 0D 7L (11:21).
- H2H: 11 matches: Torino 6W 1D 4L, goals 12–10.
- Absences: Torino 1, Lecce 0.
Torino's attack against Lecce's shaky back line
In this competition Torino have scored 14 and conceded 16 in ten matches, so 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Lecce have scored 11 and conceded 21, which is 1.1 scored and 2.1 conceded. Put those side by side and the Lecce defence is the weak spot we keep coming back to. They have conceded more than two a match in this competition, and Torino's attack is the one that has managed to find the net more often.
The home record backs that up, though not dramatically. Torino have won two and lost three at home, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Lecce have won two and lost three away, with 6 scored and 9 conceded. Neither side is a fortress or a disaster on the road.
Who will win Torino vs Lecce?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Torino vs Lecce: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.87 | 3.84 | 4.75 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.66 | 4.43 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.36 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.28 | 73.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.91 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.93 | 49.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.32 | 3.15 | 29.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.82 | 1.78 | 52.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 1.97 | 47.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.0%.
Form in the last five, and why it cuts both ways
All competitions give a slightly different picture. Torino have won three of their last five, lost two and scored 9 to 8. Lecce have won one, lost four and scored 6 to 11. On those figures Torino are the form side and Lecce are the team that has been leaking goals in defeat.
There is a catch, and it matters for the betting. Torino's last five include a 1-3 home defeat to Como and a 2-0 loss at Frosinone, so they are not coasting. Lecce's last five contain two home defeats by a single goal, against Bologna and Genoa, and a 5-1 beating at Frosinone. Lecce are losing, but they are not losing by hopeless margins every week. We think that is worth remembering before we write them off completely.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Torino
Home and away
Torino vs Lecce: last matches of both teams
Torino
Lecce
The head-to-head: Torino on top, but the margins are thin
Across the last 11 meetings Torino have won six, drawn one and lost four, with 12 goals for and 10 against. The most recent meeting was a 1-0 Torino win on 1 February 2026, and before that Lecce beat Torino 2-1 on 30 November 2025. Those are not heavy results. Lecce have also beaten Torino 1-0 and 2-1 in recent seasons, both times at Lecce, so the rivalry has been closer than the overall record suggests.
Head to head
All matchesAbsences: one name for Torino, none reported for Lecce
Torino are without P. Pellegri. We have no further detail on how that changes the setup, so we will not overstate it. Lecce have no reported absences, which is a small plus for the visitors on paper.
Torino vs Lecce: injuries and missing players
Torino
- P. Pellegriabsence · will miss the match
Lecce
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
TorinoLLWWWLecceLLLWLHow we would bet it
Our main tip is Lecce +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.85, with a chance of 53% in the market. The reasoning is simple: the bookmakers rate this line at 53% at odds of 1.85, and that is the only argument we need to back it. At +0.75 the stake is split between Lecce +0.5 and Lecce +1, so a single-goal home win costs only half the stake, a draw or a Lecce win wins outright, and a 2-0 home win loses.
Our second tip is both teams to score at odds 1.87, with a chance of 51%. Both sides have scored in three of their last five matches, and neither has failed to score in more than one. The expected total of about three goals fits a match where both teams find the net. We would not go much higher than this, because a 2-0 Torino win or a 1-0 Torino win would both lose the bet, and the price is close to a coin toss.
Torino vs Lecce: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
The alternatives we would consider
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a chance of 72%. It fits the expected total and the scoring records of both sides, and it is among the safer prices on the list.
- Lecce +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.35, with a chance of 71%. It only loses if Lecce are beaten by two or more, so it is a cover for the visitors that does not need them to pick up a point.
- Draw or Lecce (X2) at odds 2.04, with a chance of 48%. We like it only as a longer shot, because it asks Lecce to avoid defeat and that is not something their recent results point to.
Our likeliest score
We land on Torino 1-1 Lecce. It is one of the most likely exact scores on the market, level with 1-0, and it matches what we think the match looks like: Torino have the better attack and the home advantage, but Lecce have enough in them to score and keep the game close. A 1-1 draw wins our main tip outright, and it also wins the second tip, so it is the result we would most like to see from our two picks.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Torino vs Lecce?
Lecce +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Both teams to score (1.82).
Who will win Torino vs Lecce?
Our estimate gives Torino a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lecce 22%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 7 November 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin. Referee: Ermanno Feliciani.
Who will be missing?
Torino: P. Pellegri. Lecce: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 2.01) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.82).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.7%), then 1–0 (11.7%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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