Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 29 October 2026 · 17:30 at PSC Arena (Frosinone), Frosinone take on Lecce, with Rosario Abisso in charge. We make Frosinone (57%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Frosinone vs Lecce: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Frosinone lie 6th, having collected 20 points after 10 matches (6W 2D 2L); Lecce lie 14th, having collected 9 points (3W 0D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Frosinone average 2.1 goals for and 1.6 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.8 against for Lecce.
- Form in the competition. Frosinone: 4W 2D 2L, goals 17–13; Lecce: 3W 0D 5L, goals 9–14.
- Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, Frosinone have taken 1 win to Lecce's 3 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 9–10.
What to expect
In our view Frosinone hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.96), which we give a 50% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 68%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 7; Frosinone 1 win, 3 draws, Lecce 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Frosinone 17–13, Lecce 9–14.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
- Unavailable: Frosinone 1, Lecce 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.99). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Frosinone: F. Grillitsch. Lecce will be without: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, K. Gaspar, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Frosinone vs Lecce: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.75 | 4.42 | 4.82 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 4.27 | 4.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.08 | 30.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.91 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.6% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.88 | 32.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 16:21. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Frosinone 2–1 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Frosinone 6th (20 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Frosinone 4W 2D 2L (17:13), Lecce 3W 0D 5L (9:14).
- H2H: 7 matches: Frosinone 1W 3D 3L, goals 9–10.
- Absences: Frosinone 1, Lecce 5.
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Frosinone vs Lecce: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Frosinone vs Lecce: injuries and missing players
Frosinone
- F. Grillitschthigh injury · will miss the match
Lecce
- M. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Coulibalythigh injury · will miss the match
- K. Gasparred card · will miss the match
- I. Ilicthigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Pierottiankle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Frosinone
Home and away
Frosinone vs Lecce: last matches of both teams
Frosinone
Lecce
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FrosinoneWWDWLLecceLLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Frosinone vs Lecce?
Frosinone to win (1.75); Over 3.5 goals (1.96).
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
Our estimate gives Frosinone a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lecce 21%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 17:30, venue PSC Arena, Frosinone. Referee: Rosario Abisso.
Who will be missing?
Frosinone: F. Grillitsch. Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, K. Gaspar, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.38) and under 2.5 goals at 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 68% (odds 1.40).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.4%), then 1–1 (8.5%) and 2–0 (7.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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