Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø, 1 November 2026 · 18:15 at Intility Arena (Oslo), with Marius Hansen Grotta officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Tromsø win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Tromsø lose.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Vålerenga lie 8th, having collected 32 points after 25 matches (9W 5D 11L); Tromsø lie 6th, having collected 40 points (11W 7D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Vålerenga average 1.6 goals for and 1.9 against, compared with 1.8 for and 1.4 against for Tromsø.
- Form in the competition. Vålerenga: 8W 5D 11L, goals 39–46; Tromsø: 11W 7D 6L, goals 43–34.
- Head to head. In 22 previous meetings, Vålerenga have taken 10 wins to Tromsø's 6 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 36–25.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Tromsø, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 67%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 22; Vålerenga 10 wins, 6 draws, Tromsø 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Vålerenga 39–46, Tromsø 43–34.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
- Unavailable: Vålerenga 3, Tromsø 3.
Alternative tip: Vålerenga or draw (1X)
Another angle: Vålerenga or draw (1X) (probability 65%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Vålerenga: C. Lange, E. Rashani, K. Finnsson. Tromsø will be without: T. Nyhammer, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.43 | 4.01 | 2.84 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.78 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.49 | 2.43 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 83.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.43 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.69 | 34.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.10 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.38 | 66.9% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.81 | 33.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Vålerenga 1–1 Tromsø, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Vålerenga 8th (32 points), Tromsø 6th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: Vålerenga 8W 5D 11L (39:46), Tromsø 11W 7D 6L (43:34).
- H2H: 22 matches: Vålerenga 10W 6D 6L, goals 36–25.
- Absences: Vålerenga 3, Tromsø 3.
Who will win Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: injuries and missing players
Vålerenga
- C. Langeabsence · will miss the match
- E. Rashaniinjury · will miss the match
- K. Finnssoninjury · doubtful
Tromsø
- T. Nyhammerabsence · will miss the match
- S. Prestmoinjury · will miss the match
- M. Tonnessenthigh injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 | Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Vålerenga
Home and away
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: last matches of both teams
Vålerenga
Tromsø
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
VålerengaWWWLDTromsøLLDDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
Tromsø +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
Our estimate gives Vålerenga a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tromsø 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 18:15, venue Intility Arena, Oslo. Referee: Marius Hansen Grotta.
Who will be missing?
Vålerenga: C. Lange, E. Rashani, K. Finnsson. Tromsø: T. Nyhammer, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 67% (odds 1.44).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.8%), then 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (7.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.