Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Viking welcome Tromsø on 25 October 2026 · 13:30 at SR-Bank Arena (Stavanger), and the referee is Marius Lien. Viking (62%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Tromsø win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Tromsø lose by 1. Loses: Tromsø lose by 2 or more.
Viking vs Tromsø: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Viking lie 1st, having collected 59 points after 25 matches (19W 2D 4L); Tromsø lie 6th, having collected 40 points (11W 7D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Viking average 2.6 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.8 for and 1.3 against for Tromsø.
- Form in the competition. Viking: 18W 2D 3L, goals 59–22; Tromsø: 11W 7D 5L, goals 42–31.
- Head to head. In 21 previous meetings, Viking have taken 9 wins to Tromsø's 5 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 35–28.
What to expect
In our view Viking hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 21; Viking 9 wins, 7 draws, Tromsø 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Viking 59–22, Tromsø 42–31.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
- Unavailable: Viking 7, Tromsø 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Viking: K. Askildsen, A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth, H. Falchener, K. Haugen. Tromsø will be without: L. Hien, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen, V. Erlien. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Viking vs Tromsø: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.55 | 4.86 | 5.82 |
| Market average | 1.51 | 4.57 | 5.30 |
| Lowest odds | 1.47 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.45 | 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.63 | 35.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.15 | 43.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.33 | 39.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Viking 2–1 Tromsø, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Viking 1st (59 points), Tromsø 6th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: Viking 18W 2D 3L (59:22), Tromsø 11W 7D 5L (42:31).
- H2H: 21 matches: Viking 9W 7D 5L, goals 35–28.
- Absences: Viking 7, Tromsø 4.
Who will win Viking vs Tromsø?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Viking vs Tromsø: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Viking vs Tromsø: injuries and missing players
Viking
- K. Askildsenred card · will miss the match
- A. Baertelsenfoot injury · will miss the match
- V. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Bjorsholknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Rosethknee injury · will miss the match
- H. Falchenerknee injury · doubtful
- K. Haugenabsence · doubtful
Tromsø
- L. Hienred card · will miss the match
- S. Prestmoinjury · will miss the match
- M. Tonnesseninjury · will miss the match
- V. Erlieninjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Viking
Home and away
Viking vs Tromsø: last matches of both teams
Viking
Tromsø
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
VikingLWWWWTromsøLLDDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Viking vs Tromsø?
Tromsø +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Over 2.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Viking vs Tromsø?
Our estimate gives Viking a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tromsø 18%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 13:30, venue SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. Referee: Marius Lien.
Who will be missing?
Viking: K. Askildsen, A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth, H. Falchener, K. Haugen. Tromsø: L. Hien, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen, V. Erlien. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.48) and under 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.8%), then 1–1 (8.9%) and 2–0 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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