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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 9 · 25 October 2026 · 12:30

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction, odds and betting tip – 25 October 2026, 2. Bundesliga

1VfL Osnabrück2.18
XDraw3.70
2SpVgg Greuther Fürth3.31

Top price available · Updated 25/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 25 October 2026 · 12:30 at Stadion an der Bremer Brücke (Osnabruck), with J. Hasmann officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
VfL Osnabrück -0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.89
Chance 52% · confidence medium

Wins: VfL Osnabrück win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: VfL Osnabrück lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
Chance 62% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
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VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. VfL Osnabrück lie 12th, having collected 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L); SpVgg Greuther Fürth lie 9th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
  2. Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, VfL Osnabrück have taken 3 wins to SpVgg Greuther Fürth's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 8–6.

What to expect

In our view VfL Osnabrück hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 7; VfL Osnabrück 3 wins, 2 draws, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
  4. Unavailable: VfL Osnabrück 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 62%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for VfL Osnabrück: no absences. SpVgg Greuther Fürth will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.183.703.31
Market average2.123.603.15
Lowest odds2.083.403.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.1779.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6158.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.312.2541.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.622.4637.8%
BTTS – yes1.531.5061.7%
BTTS – no2.552.4238.3%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.8%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: VfL Osnabrück 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: VfL Osnabrück 12th (11 points), SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9th (12 points).
  • H2H: 7 matches: VfL Osnabrück 3W 2D 2L, goals 8–6.
  • Absences: VfL Osnabrück 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.

Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

VfL Osnabrück44%
Draw26%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth30%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.5% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
VfL Osnabrück or draw (1X)70.2% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.37
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.2% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.53
Likely
Both teams to score: yes61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.3% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.67
Possible
VfL Osnabrück to win44.2% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.18
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.31
Outsider
Both teams to score: no38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.55
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.8% · fair odds 2.64 · best 2.62
Outsider
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win29.8% · fair odds 3.36 · best 3.31
Outsider
Draw26.0% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.06 · Under 1.69
probability of over 45.1%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.1%
2 : 19.1%
1 : 08.2%
1 : 27.5%
2 : 06.8%
0 : 16.7%

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: injuries and missing players

VfL Osnabrück

  • No reported absences

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Hertha BSC109-1-023:828
21. FC Nürnberg106-3-124:1321
3VfL Wolfsburg105-4-125:1419
41. FC Kaiserslautern105-3-29:718
51. FC Magdeburg105-2-321:1317
61. FC Heidenheim104-3-317:1815
7Arminia Bielefeld104-2-416:1514
8FC St. Pauli102-6-212:1212
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth113-3-513:1912
10Energie Cottbus112-5-418:2011
11Eintracht Braunschweig113-2-616:1811
12VfL Osnabrück103-2-514:1711
13VfL Bochum103-2-58:1111
14Dynamo Dresden113-2-615:2011
15Hannover 96103-2-510:1611
16Karlsruher SC103-2-513:2111
17SV Darmstadt 98102-3-59:199
18Holstein Kiel101-5-410:128

Recent matches

VfL Osnabrück

31 OctLVfL Wolfsburg 2–0 VfL Osnabrück
25 OctWVfL Osnabrück 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
18 OctLArminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück
10 OctDVfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden
19 SeptDHolstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

6 NovLDynamo Dresden 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 NovWSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–0 Holstein Kiel
25 OctLVfL Osnabrück 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
17 OctWSpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig
11 OctLHertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Home and away

VfL Osnabrück at home5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 8–8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth away6 matches: 1W 2D 3L, goals 7–13

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: last matches of both teams

VfL Osnabrück

L 31/10/26 · VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 VfL Osnabrück
L 18/10/26 · Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück
D 10/10/26 · VfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden
D 19/9/26 · Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L 6/11/26 · Dynamo Dresden 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
W 1/11/26 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–0 Holstein Kiel
W 17/10/26 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig
L 11/10/26 · Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Head to head

All matches
3VfL Osnabrück
2Draws
2SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25/10/26 · VfL Osnabrück 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
7/4/24 · VfL Osnabruck 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth
27/10/23 · SpVgg Greuther Furth 4–0 VfL Osnabruck
26/1/21 · VfL Osnabruck 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
20/9/20 · SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–1 VfL Osnabruck
26/5/20 · SpVgg Greuther Furth 0–2 VfL Osnabruck

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.8%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

VfL Osnabrück -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).

Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our estimate gives VfL Osnabrück a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 30%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 12:30, venue Stadion an der Bremer Brücke, Osnabruck. Referee: J. Hasmann.

Who will be missing?

VfL Osnabrück: no absences. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.67) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.31).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.1%), then 2–1 (9.1%) and 1–0 (8.2%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 7 NovHolstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld 7 NovVfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 7 NovHertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg 7 NovVfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.