Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Waterford welcome Drogheda United on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Regional Sports Centre (Waterford), and the referee is R. Hennessy. Waterford (55%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Waterford win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Waterford win by 1. Loses: a draw, Waterford lose.
Waterford vs Drogheda United: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Waterford lie 7th, having collected 43 points after 36 matches (10W 13D 13L); Drogheda United lie 9th, having collected 40 points (10W 10D 16L).
- Head to head. In 16 previous meetings, Waterford have taken 7 wins to Drogheda United's 5 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 23–25.
What to expect
In our view Waterford hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 16; Waterford 7 wins, 4 draws, Drogheda United 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Waterford 0, Drogheda United 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.79). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Waterford: no absences. Drogheda United will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Waterford vs Drogheda United: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.87 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 3.79 | 4.65 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.19 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.74 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.03 | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.92 | 2.80 | 33.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.02 | 46.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Waterford 7th (43 points), Drogheda United 9th (40 points).
- H2H: 16 matches: Waterford 7W 4D 5L, goals 23–25.
- Absences: Waterford 0, Drogheda United 0.
Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Waterford vs Drogheda United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Waterford vs Drogheda United: injuries and missing players
Waterford
- No reported absences
Drogheda United
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athletic | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Waterford
Home and away
Waterford vs Drogheda United: last matches of both teams
Waterford
Drogheda United
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Waterford -0.75 (Asian handicap) (2.13); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Our estimate gives Waterford a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Drogheda United 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Regional Sports Centre, Waterford. Referee: R. Hennessy.
Who will be missing?
Waterford: no absences. Drogheda United: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.79) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 1–0 (10.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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