Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 29 October 2026 · 20:00, Xerez take on Cádiz. We make Cádiz (47%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Xerez win, a draw. Stake back: Xerez lose by 1. Loses: Xerez lose by 2 or more.
Xerez vs Cádiz: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Head to head. In 2 previous meetings, Xerez have taken 0 wins to Cádiz's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 1–3.
What to expect
In our view Cádiz hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.65), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 2; Xerez 0 wins, 1 draw, Cádiz 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: Xerez 0, Cádiz 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.73). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Xerez: no absences. Cádiz will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Xerez vs Cádiz: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.00 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Market average | 3.54 | 3.44 | 1.97 |
| Lowest odds | 3.19 | 3.17 | 1.79 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 76.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.66 | 34.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.60 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Xerez 1–1 Cádiz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- H2H: 2 matches: Xerez 0W 1D 1L, goals 1–3.
- Absences: Xerez 0, Cádiz 0.
Who will win Xerez vs Cádiz?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Xerez vs Cádiz: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Xerez vs Cádiz: injuries and missing players
Xerez
- No reported absences
Cádiz
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Xerez vs Cádiz: last matches of both teams
Xerez
Cádiz
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Xerez vs Cádiz?
Xerez +1 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.65).
Who will win Xerez vs Cádiz?
Our estimate gives Xerez a 26% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cádiz 47%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 20:00, venue to be confirmed.
Who will be missing?
Xerez: no absences. Cádiz: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.73) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.15).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.65).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.5%), then 0–1 (9.5%) and 1–2 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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