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📊 Statistical probability
AC Milan55%
Draw25%
Fiorentina20%
AC Milan head into the clash at San Siro perched in sixth place with eight points from two wins and two draws, boasting a solid 7‑4 goal difference. Their opponents, Fiorentina, sit down in fifteenth, having gathered just three points from a solitary victory and three defeats, and they carry a worrying 5‑11 deficit on the scoresheet. Milan’s unbeaten run this season gives them a clear psychological edge, while the Florentines will be desperate to snap their slump and climb out of the relegation zone. Statistically, the home side’s defensive record—conceding only four goals in four games—contrasts sharply with Fiorentina’s porous back line, which has let in eleven. If the trend holds, Milan should look to extend their unbeaten streak, whereas Fiorentina will need a dramatic turnaround to avoid further drift down the table.
📅 Recent matches
📊 Team Statistics (Season)
AC MilanFiorentina
2.0
Goals/game
1.1
0.9
Conceded/game
2.4
58.0%
Possession
47.0%
13.1
Shots/game
15.9
5.2
Shots on target/game
5.8
3.7
Corners/game
4.9
1.8
xG
1.6
10.1
Fouls/game
11.2
📈 xG Analysis · Last 10 matches
AC Milan1.8
xG per game
Fiorentina1.6
xG per game