Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk, 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen). The odds point to Aberdeen (48%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Falkirk win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Falkirk lose by 1. Loses: Falkirk lose by 2 or more.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Aberdeen lie 10th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L); Falkirk lie 4th, having collected 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Aberdeen average 1.2 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 1.2 for and 1.2 against for Falkirk.
- Form in the competition. Aberdeen: 3W 2D 5L, goals 12–13; Falkirk: 3W 3D 4L, goals 12–12.
- Head to head. In 4 previous meetings, Aberdeen have taken 0 wins to Falkirk's 3 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 1–4.
What to expect
In our view Aberdeen hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.8%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Falkirk, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 4; Aberdeen 0 wins, 1 draw, Falkirk 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Aberdeen 12–13, Falkirk 12–12.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: Aberdeen 0, Falkirk 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Aberdeen: no absences. Falkirk will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.01 | 3.56 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.97 | 3.47 | 3.79 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.68 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.94 | 49.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.10 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.69 | 54.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.04 | 45.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Aberdeen 1–1 Falkirk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aberdeen 10th (11 points), Falkirk 4th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Aberdeen 3W 2D 5L (12:13), Falkirk 3W 3D 4L (12:12).
- H2H: 4 matches: Aberdeen 0W 1D 3L, goals 1–4.
- Absences: Aberdeen 0, Falkirk 0.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: injuries and missing players
Aberdeen
- No reported absences
Falkirk
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Aberdeen
Home and away
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: last matches of both teams
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AberdeenLLWLDFalkirkWWWWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Falkirk +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.66); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Our estimate gives Aberdeen a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Falkirk 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen.
Who will be missing?
Aberdeen: no absences. Falkirk: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.91) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.8%), then 1–0 (10.8%) and 2–1 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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