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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 12 · 1 November 2026 · 13:00

Falkirk vs Celtic: prediction, odds and betting tip – 1 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

WWWWL
2–0
LDWWW
1Falkirk6.50
XDraw5.50
2Celtic1.50

Top price available · Updated 1/11/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Falkirk welcome Celtic on 1 November 2026 · 13:00 at Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk). Celtic (65%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Falkirk vs Celtic: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Falkirk +1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.90
Chance 51% · confidence medium

Wins: Falkirk win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Falkirk lose by 1. Loses: Falkirk lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.50
Chance 64% · confidence medium
Combo
Celtic with over 2.5 goals
2.14
47% · combo fair odds
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Celtic (X2) at a probability of 84%, with odds of up to 1.17.
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Falkirk vs Celtic: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Falkirk lie 4th, having collected 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L); Celtic lie 1st, having collected 28 points (9W 1D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Falkirk average 1.2 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 2.5 for and 0.7 against for Celtic.
  3. Form in the competition. Falkirk: 4W 3D 4L, goals 13–12; Celtic: 9W 1D 1L, goals 27–8.
  4. Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Falkirk have taken 1 win to Celtic's 8 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 7–24.

What to expect

In our view Celtic hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 9; Falkirk 1 win, 0 draws, Celtic 8 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.4 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Falkirk 13–12, Celtic 27–8.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
  5. Unavailable: Falkirk 0, Celtic 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 57%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Falkirk: no absences. Celtic will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Falkirk vs Celtic: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available6.505.501.50
Market average6.024.901.45
Lowest odds5.254.401.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1382.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.501.4663.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.672.5836.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.302.2142.7%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.5%
BTTS – no2.252.1942.5%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.3%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Falkirk 1–2 Celtic, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), Celtic 1st (28 points).
  • Form in the competition: Falkirk 4W 3D 4L (13:12), Celtic 9W 1D 1L (27:8).
  • H2H: 9 matches: Falkirk 1W 0D 8L, goals 7–24.
  • Absences: Falkirk 0, Celtic 0.

Who will win Falkirk vs Celtic?

Falkirk16%
Draw19%
Celtic65%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Falkirk vs Celtic: more betting tips

Draw or Celtic (X2)84.3% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.6% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Celtic to win65.0% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.50
Likely
Both teams to score: yes57.5% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.67
Possible
Under 3.5 goals57.3% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 3.5 goals42.7% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.30
Outsider
Both teams to score: no42.5% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.25
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals36.2% · fair odds 2.76 · best 2.67
Outsider
Draw19.3% · fair odds 5.19 · best 5.50
Outsider
Falkirk to win15.7% · fair odds 6.37 · best 6.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.78 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.90 · Under 1.83
probability of over 49.1%

Correct score tips

1 : 29.8%
0 : 29.3%
1 : 18.7%
0 : 18.3%
1 : 37.4%
0 : 37.0%

Falkirk vs Celtic: injuries and missing players

Falkirk

  • No reported absences

Celtic

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee United114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Falkirk

1 NovWFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctWAberdeen 0–1 Falkirk
24 OctWFalkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
17 OctWHibernian 1–2 Falkirk
10 OctLFalkirk 1–2 Dundee

Celtic

5 NovWCeltic 3–2 Beşiktaş
1 NovLFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctDCeltic 2–2 Dundee United
25 OctWHibernian 1–2 Celtic
22 OctLCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo

Home and away

Falkirk at home6 matches: 3W 0D 3L, goals 9–7
Celtic away6 matches: 5W 0D 1L, goals 12–5

Falkirk vs Celtic: last matches of both teams

Falkirk

W 28/10/26 · Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk
W 24/10/26 · Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
W 17/10/26 · Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk
L 10/10/26 · Falkirk 1–2 Dundee

Celtic

W 5/11/26 · Celtic 3–2 Beşiktaş
D 28/10/26 · Celtic 2–2 Dundee United
W 25/10/26 · Hibernian 1–2 Celtic
L 22/10/26 · Celtic 1–2 Celta Vigo

Team comparison

FalkirkCeltic
50%Form50%
38%Attack62%
56%Defence44%
0%Head to head100%
14%Goals86%
35.2%Overall64.8%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

FalkirkWWWWL
CelticLDWWW

Head to head

All matches
1Falkirk
0Draws
8Celtic
1/11/26 · Falkirk 2–0 Celtic
29/8/26 · Celtic 2–1 Falkirk
25/4/26 · Celtic 3–1 Falkirk
1/2/26 · Celtic 2–0 Falkirk
14/1/26 · Falkirk 0–1 Celtic
29/10/25 · Celtic 4–0 Falkirk

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Falkirk vs Celtic?

Falkirk +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).

Who will win Falkirk vs Celtic?

Our estimate gives Falkirk a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Celtic 65%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 13:00, venue Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk.

Who will be missing?

Falkirk: no absences. Celtic: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.67).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–2 (9.8%), then 0–2 (9.3%) and 1–1 (8.7%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee United vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.