Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha, 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích (Ostrava), with Dalibor Černý officiating. The odds point to Sparta Praha (57%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Baník Ostrava win, a draw. Stake back: Baník Ostrava lose by 1. Loses: Baník Ostrava lose by 2 or more.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Baník Ostrava lie 13th, having collected 11 points after 12 matches (3W 2D 7L); Sparta Praha lie 4th, having collected 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
What to expect
In our view Sparta Praha hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Baník Ostrava 0, Sparta Praha 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Baník Ostrava: no absences. Sparta Praha will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.82 | 4.37 | 1.65 |
| Market average | 4.59 | 4.06 | 1.63 |
| Lowest odds | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.16 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.58 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.22 | 41.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Baník Ostrava 1–1 Sparta Praha, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Baník Ostrava 13th (11 points), Sparta Praha 4th (23 points).
- Absences: Baník Ostrava 0, Sparta Praha 0.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: injuries and missing players
Baník Ostrava
- No reported absences
Sparta Praha
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Bohemians 1905 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 10 |  Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 13 | 2-4-7 | 14:24 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
Baník Ostrava
Home and away
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: last matches of both teams
Baník Ostrava
Sparta Praha
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
Baník Ostrava +1 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
Our estimate gives Baník Ostrava a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sparta Praha 57%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích, Ostrava. Referee: Dalibor Černý.
Who will be missing?
Baník Ostrava: no absences. Sparta Praha: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.2%), then 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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