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Chance Liga · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 14:00

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: prediction, odds and betting tip – 25 October 2026, Chance Liga

5–1
1Sparta Praha1.29
XDraw6.21
2Slovácko10.50

Top price available · Updated 25/10/26, 13:15

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Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadion Letná (Prague), Sparta Praha take on Slovácko, with Antonín Bohata in charge. We make Sparta Praha (74%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Slovácko +2 (Asian handicap)
1.72
Chance 59% · confidence medium
Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.53
Chance 64% · confidence medium
Combo
Sparta Praha with over 2.5 goals
1.86
54% · combo fair odds
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sparta Praha or draw (1X) at a probability of 90%, with odds of up to 1.07. Because the result is a short price, we would add a goals tip alongside it.
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Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Sparta Praha lie 4th, having collected 23 points after 13 matches (7W 2D 4L); Slovácko lie 15th, having collected 7 points (1W 4D 8L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Sparta Praha average 1.8 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 0.9 for and 1.6 against for Slovácko.
  3. Form in the competition. Sparta Praha: 6W 1D 4L, goals 20–12; Slovácko: 1W 4D 6L, goals 10–18.
  4. Head to head. In 21 previous meetings, Sparta Praha have taken 12 wins to Slovácko's 5 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 43–24.

What to expect

In our view Sparta Praha hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

With the result at a short price (1.29), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 21; Sparta Praha 12 wins, 4 draws, Slovácko 5 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Sparta Praha 20–12, Slovácko 10–18.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
  5. Unavailable: Sparta Praha 0, Slovácko 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Sparta Praha: no absences. Slovácko will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.296.2110.50
Market average1.265.669.60
Lowest odds1.225.009.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1282.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.531.4663.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.662.5836.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.272.1942.8%
BTTS – yes2.001.8450.6%
BTTS – no1.951.8849.4%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 13:15. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Sparta Praha 2–0 Slovácko, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Sparta Praha 4th (23 points), Slovácko 15th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: Sparta Praha 6W 1D 4L (20:12), Slovácko 1W 4D 6L (10:18).
  • H2H: 21 matches: Sparta Praha 12W 4D 5L, goals 43–24.
  • Absences: Sparta Praha 0, Slovácko 0.

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

Sparta Praha74%
Draw16%
Slovácko10%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: more betting tips

Sparta Praha or draw (1X)90.3% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.07
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.9% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Sparta Praha to win73.8% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 2.5 goals63.9% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams to score: yes50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 2.00
Possible
Both teams to score: no49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.27
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals36.1% · fair odds 2.77 · best 2.66
Outsider
Draw16.5% · fair odds 6.07 · best 6.21
Outsider
Slovácko to win9.7% · fair odds 10.30 · best 10.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.98 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.9%

Correct score tips

2 : 011.5%
3 : 09.6%
1 : 09.2%
2 : 19.2%
3 : 17.7%
1 : 17.4%

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: injuries and missing players

Sparta Praha

  • No reported absences

Slovácko

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Bohemians 1905135-5-315:1420
9Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
10Plzeň135-4-428:2119
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis132-4-714:2410
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Sparta Praha

5 NovLSparta Praha 1–3 Bournemouth
1 NovDBohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
25 OctWSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha

Slovácko

31 OctLSlovácko 1–3 Teplice
25 OctLSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
18 OctLSlovácko 1–2 Zbrojovka Brno
11 OctWSlovan Liberec 0–2 Slovácko
19 SeptDSlovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava

Home and away

Sparta Praha at home6 matches: 5W 0D 1L, goals 16–6
Slovácko away7 matches: 1W 1D 5L, goals 6–16

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: last matches of both teams

Sparta Praha

L 5/11/26 · Sparta Praha 1–3 Bournemouth
D 1/11/26 · Bohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
L 22/10/26 · Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
D 18/10/26 · Baník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha

Slovácko

L 31/10/26 · Slovácko 1–3 Teplice
L 18/10/26 · Slovácko 1–2 Zbrojovka Brno
W 11/10/26 · Slovan Liberec 0–2 Slovácko
D 19/9/26 · Slovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava

Team comparison

Sparta PrahaSlovácko
67%Form33%
62%Attack38%
75%Defence25%
85%Head to head15%
68%Goals32%
73.0%Overall27.0%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Sparta PrahaDWDWW
SlováckoLLLWD

Head to head

All matches
12Sparta Praha
4Draws
5Slovácko
25/10/26 · Sparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
15/3/26 · Sparta Praha 5–2 Slovácko
19/10/25 · Slovácko 0–0 Sparta Praha
2/2/25 · Slovácko 0–2 Sparta Praha
24/8/24 · Sparta Praha 2–2 Slovácko
5/5/24 · Slovácko 2–4 Sparta Praha

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

Slovácko +2 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Over 2.5 goals (1.53).

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

Our estimate gives Sparta Praha a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Slovácko 10%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadion Letná, Prague. Referee: Antonín Bohata.

Who will be missing?

Sparta Praha: no absences. Slovácko: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.53) and under 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.66).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 2.00).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–0 (11.5%), then 3–0 (9.6%) and 1–0 (9.2%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Zlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 NovTeplice vs Pardubice 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.