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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Olympiakos Piraeus1.52
XDraw4.60
2Sparta Praha7.00

Top price available · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus), Olympiakos Piraeus take on Sparta Praha, with Espen Eskås in charge. We make Olympiakos Piraeus (64%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Olympiakos Piraeus -1 (Asian handicap)
1.86
Chance 53% · confidence medium

Wins: Olympiakos Piraeus win by 2 or more. Stake back: Olympiakos Piraeus win by 1. Loses: a draw, Olympiakos Piraeus lose.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.79
Chance 54% · confidence medium
Combo
Olympiakos Piraeus with over 2.5 goals
2.43
41% · combo fair odds
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (1X) at a probability of 85%, with odds of up to 1.13.
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Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Olympiakos Piraeus lie 6th, having collected 10 points after 4 matches (3W 1D 0L); Sparta Praha lie 22nd, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
  2. Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Olympiakos Piraeus have taken 1 win to Sparta Praha's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 1–0.

What to expect

In our view Olympiakos Piraeus hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 1; Olympiakos Piraeus 1 win, 0 draws, Sparta Praha 0 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 1.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
  4. Unavailable: Olympiakos Piraeus 0, Sparta Praha 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 50%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Olympiakos Piraeus: no absences. Sparta Praha will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.524.607.00
Market average1.494.406.50
Lowest odds1.444.005.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2376.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7554.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.132.0845.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.972.8133.5%
BTTS – yes1.911.8550.4%
BTTS – no1.911.8849.6%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.5%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Olympiakos Piraeus 2–0 Sparta Praha, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Olympiakos Piraeus 6th (10 points), Sparta Praha 22nd (4 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Olympiakos Piraeus 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0.
  • Absences: Olympiakos Piraeus 0, Sparta Praha 0.

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Olympiakos Piraeus64%
Draw22%
Sparta Praha15%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: more betting tips

Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (1X)85.4% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.8% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.5% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Olympiakos Piraeus to win63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.52
Likely
Over 2.5 goals54.3% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.79
Possible
Both teams to score: yes50.4% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.91
Possible
Both teams to score: no49.6% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.91
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.7% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.13
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.5% · fair odds 2.98 · best 2.97
Outsider
Draw21.6% · fair odds 4.63 · best 4.60
Outsider
Sparta Praha to win14.6% · fair odds 6.85 · best 7.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.89 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.4%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.11 · Under 1.68
probability of over 44.4%

Correct score tips

2 : 011.6%
1 : 011.6%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 19.8%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.6%

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: injuries and missing players

Olympiakos Piraeus

  • No reported absences

Sparta Praha

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica44-0-013:312
2Bournemouth44-0-011:212
3Ferencvárosi TC44-0-011:312
4Union Saint-Gilloise43-1-010:210
5Juventus43-1-011:410
6Olympiakos Piraeus43-1-04:110
7Bayer Leverkusen43-0-18:19
8Beşiktaş42-1-111:87
9Dinamo Zagreb42-1-15:47
10Levski Sofia42-1-14:37
11Sunderland42-1-14:47
12NEC Nijmegen42-1-18:97
13Lyon42-1-16:77
14AZ Alkmaar42-0-27:46
15Anderlecht42-0-26:36
16OFI42-0-25:46
17Rennes41-3-04:36
18Omonia Nicosia42-0-26:76
19Torreense42-0-27:96
20Real Sociedad41-2-19:45
21Crystal Palace41-2-19:65
22Sparta Praha41-1-26:64
231899 Hoffenheim41-1-26:64
24Sturm Graz41-1-23:64
25Celje41-1-25:94
26Red Bull Salzburg41-1-23:84
27Celta Vigo41-0-34:63
28AC Milan41-0-34:73
29Jagiellonia41-0-34:73
30Plzeň41-0-33:73
31Marseille41-0-32:63
32Celtic41-0-36:113
33Hapoel Beer Sheva40-1-31:81
34Lillestrøm40-1-32:101
35Lech Poznań40-1-32:121
36Ararat-Armenia40-0-44:140

Recent matches

Olympiakos Piraeus

4 NovDRennes 0–0 Olympiakos Piraeus
22 OctWOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctWMarseille 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus
16 SeptWOlympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia

Sparta Praha

5 NovLSparta Praha 1–3 Bournemouth
1 NovDBohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
25 OctWSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha

Home and away

Olympiakos Piraeus at home2 matches: 2W 0D 0L, goals 3–1
Sparta Praha away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–2

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: last matches of both teams

Olympiakos Piraeus

D 4/11/26 · Rennes 0–0 Olympiakos Piraeus
W 15/10/26 · Marseille 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus
W 16/9/26 · Olympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia

Sparta Praha

L 5/11/26 · Sparta Praha 1–3 Bournemouth
D 1/11/26 · Bohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
W 25/10/26 · Sparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
D 18/10/26 · Baník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha

Head to head

All matches
1Olympiakos Piraeus
0Draws
0Sparta Praha
22/10/26 · Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.5%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Olympiakos Piraeus -1 (Asian handicap) (1.86); Over 2.5 goals (1.79).

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Our estimate gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sparta Praha 15%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. Referee: Espen Eskås.

Who will be missing?

Olympiakos Piraeus: no absences. Sparta Praha: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.79) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.13).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.91).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–0 (11.6%), then 1–0 (11.6%) and 2–1 (9.8%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.