Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Stoke City, 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Ewood Park (Blackburn), with Andrew Kitchen officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Stoke City win, a draw. Loses: Stoke City lose.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Blackburn lie 14th, having collected 18 points after 14 matches (5W 3D 6L); Stoke City lie 4th, having collected 26 points (8W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Blackburn average 1.5 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.2 against for Stoke City.
- Form in the competition. Blackburn: 5W 3D 5L, goals 19–20; Stoke City: 7W 2D 4L, goals 20–16.
- Head to head. In 22 previous meetings, Blackburn have taken 6 wins to Stoke City's 12 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 24–28.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.9%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 22; Blackburn 6 wins, 4 draws, Stoke City 12 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Blackburn 19–20, Stoke City 20–16.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Blackburn 4, Stoke City 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, R. Morishita. Stoke City will be without: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, L. Cisse, E. Galbraith, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.65 |
| Market average | 2.72 | 3.21 | 2.56 |
| Lowest odds | 2.64 | 2.90 | 2.43 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.32 | 70.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.04 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.76 | 53.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.70 | 3.53 | 26.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.95 | 47.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 3/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Blackburn 1–1 Stoke City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Blackburn 14th (18 points), Stoke City 4th (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Blackburn 5W 3D 5L (19:20), Stoke City 7W 2D 4L (20:16).
- H2H: 22 matches: Blackburn 6W 4D 12L, goals 24–28.
- Absences: Blackburn 4, Stoke City 6.
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Blackburn vs Stoke City: injuries and missing players
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · will miss the match
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- L. Cissenot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Galbraithabsence · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · doubtful
- S. Gallagherinjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Blackburn
Home and away
Blackburn vs Stoke City: last matches of both teams
Blackburn
Stoke City
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
BlackburnLLWLWStoke CityWWDWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Stoke City +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Under 2.5 goals (1.80).
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Our estimate gives Blackburn a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Stoke City 36%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 3 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Ewood Park, Blackburn. Referee: Andrew Kitchen.
Who will be missing?
Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, R. Morishita. Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, L. Cisse, E. Galbraith, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.10) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.9%), then 0–1 (10.8%) and 1–0 (10.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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