Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at bet365 Stadium (Stoke-On-Trent), Stoke City take on Bristol City, with James Bell, England in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Stoke City win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Stoke City lose.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Stoke City lie 4th, having collected 26 points after 14 matches (8W 2D 4L); Bristol City lie 15th, having collected 18 points (5W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Stoke City average 1.6 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.4 against for Bristol City.
- Form in the competition. Stoke City: 6W 1D 4L, goals 18–16; Bristol City: 4W 2D 5L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. In 18 previous meetings, Stoke City have taken 6 wins to Bristol City's 9 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 22–23.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.7%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 18; Stoke City 6 wins, 3 draws, Bristol City 9 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Stoke City 18–16, Bristol City 12–15.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Bristol City will be without: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.47 | 3.35 | 3.24 |
| Market average | 2.37 | 3.24 | 3.03 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.34 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.06 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.74 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.62 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.79 | 51.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.93 | 48.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Stoke City 1–1 Bristol City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stoke City 4th (26 points), Bristol City 15th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Stoke City 6W 1D 4L (18:16), Bristol City 4W 2D 5L (12:15).
- H2H: 18 matches: Stoke City 6W 3D 9L, goals 22–23.
- Absences: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Stoke City vs Bristol City: injuries and missing players
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Gallagherinjury · will miss the match
- S. Ingelssonmuscle injury · will miss the match
Bristol City
- R. Dickieknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Eileillness · will miss the match
- E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Stoke City
Home and away
Stoke City vs Bristol City: last matches of both teams
Stoke City
Bristol City
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Stoke CityWWDWLBristol CityLWDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Stoke City +0 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 2.5 goals (1.78).
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Our estimate gives Stoke City a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Bristol City 31%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: James Bell, England.
Who will be missing?
Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Bristol City: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.16) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.78).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.7%), then 1–0 (11.1%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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