Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Wrexham, 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Ewood Park (Blackburn), with Matthew Corlett, England officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Blackburn win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Blackburn lose.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Blackburn lie 14th, having collected 18 points after 14 matches (5W 3D 6L); Wrexham lie 16th, having collected 17 points (4W 5D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Blackburn average 1.5 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.4 for and 1.5 against for Wrexham.
- Form in the competition. Blackburn: 4W 3D 4L, goals 17–16; Wrexham: 3W 5D 3L, goals 15–16.
- Head to head. In 4 previous meetings, Blackburn have taken 2 wins to Wrexham's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 7–4.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.9%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 4; Blackburn 2 wins, 1 draw, Wrexham 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Blackburn 17–16, Wrexham 15–16.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Blackburn 7, Wrexham 7.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, Y. Ohashi, Y. Ribeiro, R. Morishita, S. Wharton. Wrexham will be without: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, S. Revan, J. Windass, B. Sheaf, G. Thomason. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.47 |
| Market average | 3.02 | 3.26 | 2.37 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.33 | 70.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.07 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.73 | 54.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.67 | 25.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Blackburn 1–1 Wrexham, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Blackburn 14th (18 points), Wrexham 16th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Blackburn 4W 3D 4L (17:16), Wrexham 3W 5D 3L (15:16).
- H2H: 4 matches: Blackburn 2W 1D 1L, goals 7–4.
- Absences: Blackburn 7, Wrexham 7.
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Blackburn vs Wrexham: injuries and missing players
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Y. Ohashihamstring injury · will miss the match
- Y. Ribeirohamstring injury · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · doubtful
- S. WhartonAchilles tendon injury · doubtful
Wrexham
- N. Broadheadthigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Cacacecalf injury · will miss the match
- M. Cleworthmuscle injury · will miss the match
- S. Revanhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Windassankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Sheafinjury · doubtful
- G. Thomasonthigh injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Blackburn
Home and away
Blackburn vs Wrexham: last matches of both teams
Blackburn
Wrexham
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
BlackburnLLWLWWrexhamWLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Blackburn +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 2.5 goals (1.79).
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Our estimate gives Blackburn a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Wrexham 40%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Ewood Park, Blackburn. Referee: Matthew Corlett, England.
Who will be missing?
Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, Y. Ohashi, Y. Ribeiro, R. Morishita, S. Wharton. Wrexham: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, S. Revan, J. Windass, B. Sheaf, G. Thomason. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.18) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.79).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.85).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.9%), then 0–1 (11.2%) and 1–0 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.