Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Municipal de Balaídos (Vigo), Celta Vigo take on Union Saint-Gilloise, with Aliyar Agayev in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Celta Vigo lie 27th, having collected 3 points after 4 matches (1W 0D 3L); Union Saint-Gilloise lie 4th, having collected 10 points (3W 1D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Celta Vigo average 1.0 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 2.7 for and 0.3 against for Union Saint-Gilloise.
- Form in the competition. Celta Vigo: 1W 0D 2L, goals 3–4; Union Saint-Gilloise: 2W 1D 0L, goals 8–1.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.6%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Union Saint-Gilloise, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 49%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Celta Vigo 3–4, Union Saint-Gilloise 8–1.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
- Unavailable: Celta Vigo 7, Union Saint-Gilloise 7.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.92). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Celta Vigo: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt, H. Gonzalez. Union Saint-Gilloise will be without: A. Ait El Hadj, M. Biondic, I. Hurtevent, O. Kricfalusi, K. Mac Allister, I. Pavlic, R. Schoofs. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.44 | 3.46 | 3.08 |
| Market average | 2.37 | 3.33 | 2.97 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.29 | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.96 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.85 | 51.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.33 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.71 | 54.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.04 | 45.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Celta Vigo 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Celta Vigo 27th (3 points), Union Saint-Gilloise 4th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Celta Vigo 1W 0D 2L (3:4), Union Saint-Gilloise 2W 1D 0L (8:1).
- Absences: Celta Vigo 7, Union Saint-Gilloise 7.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise: injuries and missing players
Celta Vigo
- H. F. Cuenca Martinezmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. El Abdellaouiknee injury · will miss the match
- B. Iglesiascalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Nunezgroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Romanknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Starfeltmuscle injury · will miss the match
- H. Gonzalezinjury · doubtful
Union Saint-Gilloise
- A. Ait El Hadjnot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Biondicknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Hurteventknock · will miss the match
- O. Kricfalusiknock · will miss the match
- K. Mac Allisterknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Pavlicnot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Schoofsknock · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Celta Vigo
Home and away
Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise: last matches of both teams
Celta Vigo
Union Saint-Gilloise
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Celta VigoLWLLUnion Saint-GilloiseWWDWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Under 2.5 goals (1.92); Celta Vigo or draw (1X) (1.42).
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Our estimate gives Celta Vigo a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Union Saint-Gilloise 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo. Referee: Aliyar Agayev.
Who will be missing?
Celta Vigo: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt, H. Gonzalez. Union Saint-Gilloise: A. Ait El Hadj, M. Biondic, I. Hurtevent, O. Kricfalusi, K. Mac Allister, I. Pavlic, R. Schoofs. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.04) and under 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.92).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.6%), then 1–0 (10.5%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.