Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge, 25 October 2026 · 18:15 at Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels), with Wesli De Cremer, Belgium officiating. The odds point to Union Saint-Gilloise (71%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Union Saint-Gilloise lie 2nd, having collected 26 points after 10 matches (8W 2D 0L); Cercle Brugge lie 17th, having collected 6 points (1W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Union Saint-Gilloise average 2.8 goals for and 0.5 against, compared with 1.1 for and 2.0 against for Cercle Brugge.
- Form in the competition. Union Saint-Gilloise: 6W 2D 0L, goals 22–4; Cercle Brugge: 0W 3D 5L, goals 9–16.
- Head to head. In 23 previous meetings, Union Saint-Gilloise have taken 12 wins to Cercle Brugge's 6 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 42–31.
What to expect
In our view Union Saint-Gilloise hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 23; Union Saint-Gilloise 12 wins, 5 draws, Cercle Brugge 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Union Saint-Gilloise 22–4, Cercle Brugge 9–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Union Saint-Gilloise 0, Cercle Brugge 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Union Saint-Gilloise: no absences. Cercle Brugge will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.36 | 5.96 | 9.25 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.30 | 8.22 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 4.81 | 6.66 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.48 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.29 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union Saint-Gilloise 2nd (26 points), Cercle Brugge 17th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Union Saint-Gilloise 6W 2D 0L (22:4), Cercle Brugge 0W 3D 5L (9:16).
- H2H: 23 matches: Union Saint-Gilloise 12W 5D 6L, goals 42–31.
- Absences: Union Saint-Gilloise 0, Cercle Brugge 0.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: injuries and missing players
Union Saint-Gilloise
- No reported absences
Cercle Brugge
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Standard Liège | 11 | 4-3-4 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 8 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 9 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 10 |  KV Mechelen | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 12 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 13 |  SK Beveren | 11 | 3-1-7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
Home and away
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: last matches of both teams
Union Saint-Gilloise
Cercle Brugge
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Union Saint-GilloiseWWDWWCercle BruggeWLLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Cercle Brugge +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.73); Over 2.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Our estimate gives Union Saint-Gilloise a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cercle Brugge 11%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 18:15, venue Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels. Referee: Wesli De Cremer, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
Union Saint-Gilloise: no absences. Cercle Brugge: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.53) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.66).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (11.3%), then 1–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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