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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

WLLL
1–2
1Celtic2.70
XDraw3.60
2Celta Vigo2.86

Top price available · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Celtic Park (Glasgow), Celtic take on Celta Vigo, with Georgi Nikolov Kabakov in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: tip and prediction
Main tip · Result
Draw or Celta Vigo (X2)
1.60
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
Chance 63% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
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Celtic vs Celta Vigo: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Celtic lie 32nd, having collected 3 points after 4 matches (1W 0D 3L); Celta Vigo lie 27th, having collected 3 points (1W 0D 3L).
  2. Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Celtic have taken 0 wins to Celta Vigo's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 1–2.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 1; Celtic 0 wins, 0 draws, Celta Vigo 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
  4. Unavailable: Celtic 0, Celta Vigo 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 62%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Celtic: no absences. Celta Vigo will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.703.602.86
Market average2.483.532.73
Lowest odds2.323.402.60
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1979.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.691.6557.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2442.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5736.7%
BTTS – yes1.531.5161.8%
BTTS – no2.632.4438.2%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.5%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Celtic 1–1 Celta Vigo, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Celtic 32nd (3 points), Celta Vigo 27th (3 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Celtic 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2.
  • Absences: Celtic 0, Celta Vigo 0.

Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Celtic38%
Draw27%
Celta Vigo35%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.2% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
Celtic or draw (1X)65.2% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.48
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.3% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.53
Likely
Both teams to score: yes61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.6% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.69
Possible
Under 2.5 goals42.4% · fair odds 2.36 · best 2.30
Outsider
Celtic to win38.4% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.70
Outsider
Both teams to score: no38.2% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.63
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.7% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.63
Outsider
Celta Vigo to win34.8% · fair odds 2.87 · best 2.86
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.78 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.14 · Under 1.66
probability of over 43.7%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.4%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 28.3%
1 : 07.9%
0 : 17.6%
2 : 26.2%

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: injuries and missing players

Celtic

  • No reported absences

Celta Vigo

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica44-0-013:312
2Bournemouth44-0-011:212
3Ferencvárosi TC44-0-011:312
4Union Saint-Gilloise43-1-010:210
5Juventus43-1-011:410
6Olympiakos Piraeus43-1-04:110
7Bayer Leverkusen43-0-18:19
8Beşiktaş42-1-111:87
9Dinamo Zagreb42-1-15:47
10Levski Sofia42-1-14:37
11Sunderland42-1-14:47
12NEC Nijmegen42-1-18:97
13Lyon42-1-16:77
14AZ Alkmaar42-0-27:46
15Anderlecht42-0-26:36
16OFI42-0-25:46
17Rennes41-3-04:36
18Omonia Nicosia42-0-26:76
19Torreense42-0-27:96
20Real Sociedad41-2-19:45
21Crystal Palace41-2-19:65
22Sparta Praha41-1-26:64
231899 Hoffenheim41-1-26:64
24Sturm Graz41-1-23:64
25Celje41-1-25:94
26Red Bull Salzburg41-1-23:84
27Celta Vigo41-0-34:63
28AC Milan41-0-34:73
29Jagiellonia41-0-34:73
30Plzeň41-0-33:73
31Marseille41-0-32:63
32Celtic41-0-36:113
33Hapoel Beer Sheva40-1-31:81
34Lillestrøm40-1-32:101
35Lech Poznań40-1-32:121
36Ararat-Armenia40-0-44:140

Recent matches

Celtic

5 NovWCeltic 3–2 Beşiktaş
1 NovLFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctDCeltic 2–2 Dundee United
25 OctWHibernian 1–2 Celtic
22 OctLCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

5 NovLCelta Vigo 1–2 Union Saint-Gilloise
31 OctLRayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo
25 OctDCelta Vigo 0–0 Real Betis
22 OctWCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo
18 OctWCelta Vigo 2–1 Alavés

Home and away

Celtic at home3 matches: 1W 0D 2L, goals 5–7
Celta Vigo away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–2

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: last matches of both teams

Celtic

W 5/11/26 · Celtic 3–2 Beşiktaş
L 1/11/26 · Falkirk 2–0 Celtic
D 28/10/26 · Celtic 2–2 Dundee United
W 25/10/26 · Hibernian 1–2 Celtic

Celta Vigo

L 5/11/26 · Celta Vigo 1–2 Union Saint-Gilloise
L 31/10/26 · Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo
D 25/10/26 · Celta Vigo 0–0 Real Betis
W 18/10/26 · Celta Vigo 2–1 Alavés

Head to head

All matches
0Celtic
0Draws
1Celta Vigo
22/10/26 · Celtic 1–2 Celta Vigo

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.5%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Draw or Celta Vigo (X2) (1.60); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).

Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Our estimate gives Celtic a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Celta Vigo 35%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Celtic Park, Glasgow. Referee: Georgi Nikolov Kabakov.

Who will be missing?

Celtic: no absences. Celta Vigo: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.69) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.4%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.3%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.