Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Charlton vs Bolton, 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at The Valley (London), with Steve Martin officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Charlton vs Bolton: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Charlton lie 21st, having collected 14 points after 14 matches (3W 5D 6L); Bolton lie 17th, having collected 17 points (5W 2D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Charlton average 0.8 goals for and 1.6 against, compared with 1.4 for and 2.0 against for Bolton.
- Form in the competition. Charlton: 3W 5D 5L, goals 11–21; Bolton: 4W 2D 7L, goals 18–26.
- Head to head. In 19 previous meetings, Charlton have taken 5 wins to Bolton's 7 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 23–29.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 19; Charlton 5 wins, 7 draws, Bolton 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Charlton 11–21, Bolton 18–26.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: Charlton 3, Bolton 6.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.82). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, M. Godden. Bolton will be without: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, E. Toal, G. Bazunu. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Charlton vs Bolton: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.34 | 3.61 | 3.30 |
| Market average | 2.20 | 3.42 | 3.14 |
| Lowest odds | 2.14 | 3.22 | 3.02 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.78 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.02 | 46.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.04 | 2.89 | 32.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 3/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Charlton 1–1 Bolton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Charlton 21st (14 points), Bolton 17th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Charlton 3W 5D 5L (11:21), Bolton 4W 2D 7L (18:26).
- H2H: 19 matches: Charlton 5W 7D 7L, goals 23–29.
- Absences: Charlton 3, Bolton 6.
Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Charlton vs Bolton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Charlton vs Bolton: injuries and missing players
Charlton
- R. Apterknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Sichenjeknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Goddenmuscle injury · doubtful
Bolton
- E. Erhahonthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Hardiehamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. McAteeknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nelsonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Toalnot in the squad · will miss the match
- G. Bazununot in the squad · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Charlton
Home and away
Charlton vs Bolton: last matches of both teams
Charlton
Bolton
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
CharltonLLLLDBoltonLWLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Charlton vs Bolton?
Draw or Bolton (X2) (1.70); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?
Our estimate gives Charlton a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bolton 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 3 November 2026 at 19:45, venue The Valley, London. Referee: Steve Martin.
Who will be missing?
Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, M. Godden. Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, E. Toal, G. Bazunu. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.82) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.0%), then 1–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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