Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Middlesbrough welcome Charlton on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough), and the referee is Will Finnie. Middlesbrough (76%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Middlesbrough lie 1st, having collected 28 points after 14 matches (8W 4D 2L); Charlton lie 21st, having collected 14 points (3W 5D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Middlesbrough average 2.3 goals for and 1.4 against, compared with 0.9 for and 1.5 against for Charlton.
- Form in the competition. Middlesbrough: 7W 4D 1L, goals 27–17; Charlton: 3W 5D 4L, goals 11–18.
- Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, Middlesbrough have taken 9 wins to Charlton's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 21–8.
What to expect
In our view Middlesbrough hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.26), the goals markets are also worth considering: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.85), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 13; Middlesbrough 9 wins, 2 draws, Charlton 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Middlesbrough 27–17, Charlton 11–18.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
- Unavailable: Middlesbrough 3, Charlton 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Middlesbrough: A. Jones, R. Pukstas, D. Strelec. Charlton will be without: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, N. Chalobah, M. Godden. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.26 | 6.80 | 11.50 |
| Market average | 1.23 | 6.31 | 10.43 |
| Lowest odds | 1.20 | 5.32 | 7.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.37 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.90 | 32.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.11 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.79 | 51.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.97 | 1.93 | 48.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:40. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Middlesbrough 2–0 Charlton, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Middlesbrough 1st (28 points), Charlton 21st (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Middlesbrough 7W 4D 1L (27:17), Charlton 3W 5D 4L (11:18).
- H2H: 13 matches: Middlesbrough 9W 2D 2L, goals 21–8.
- Absences: Middlesbrough 3, Charlton 4.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: injuries and missing players
Middlesbrough
- A. Jonescalf injury · will miss the match
- R. Pukstasinjury · doubtful
- D. Strelecinjury · doubtful
Charlton
- R. Apterknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Sichenjeknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Chalobahmuscle injury · doubtful
- M. Goddenmuscle injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Middlesbrough
Home and away
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: last matches of both teams
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
MiddlesbroughLWWDWCharltonLLLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
Middlesbrough -1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.85).
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
Our estimate gives Middlesbrough a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Charlton 9%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. Referee: Will Finnie.
Who will be missing?
Middlesbrough: A. Jones, R. Pukstas, D. Strelec. Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, N. Chalobah, M. Godden. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.42) and under 2.5 goals at 32% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.87).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (10.6%), then 3–0 (9.4%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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