Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock, 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Dens Park (Dundee). The odds point to Dundee (50%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Dundee win. Loses: a draw, Dundee lose.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Dundee lie 5th, having collected 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L); Kilmarnock lie 11th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Dundee average 1.4 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 1.0 for and 2.3 against for Kilmarnock.
- Form in the competition. Dundee: 4W 2D 4L, goals 14–12; Kilmarnock: 2W 2D 6L, goals 10–23.
- Head to head. In 38 previous meetings, Dundee have taken 11 wins to Kilmarnock's 10 wins, plus 17 draws; the goal tally stands at 54–52.
What to expect
In our view Dundee hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 38; Dundee 11 wins, 17 draws, Kilmarnock 10 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Dundee 14–12, Kilmarnock 10–23.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Dundee 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Dundee: no absences. Kilmarnock will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.92 | 3.95 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.88 | 3.75 | 3.81 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.61 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.31 | 41.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.59 | 2.49 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.31 | 2.28 | 40.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Dundee 1–1 Kilmarnock, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dundee 5th (17 points), Kilmarnock 11th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Dundee 4W 2D 4L (14:12), Kilmarnock 2W 2D 6L (10:23).
- H2H: 38 matches: Dundee 11W 17D 10L, goals 54–52.
- Absences: Dundee 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: injuries and missing players
Dundee
- No reported absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dundee
Home and away
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: last matches of both teams
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
DundeeWLDWWKilmarnockDLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Our estimate gives Dundee a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kilmarnock 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Dens Park, Dundee.
Who will be missing?
Dundee: no absences. Kilmarnock: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.63) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.7%), then 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.