Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone, 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park (Kilmarnock). Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Kilmarnock win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Kilmarnock lose.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Kilmarnock lie 11th, having collected 9 points after 12 matches (2W 3D 7L); ST Johnstone lie 7th, having collected 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Kilmarnock average 1.0 goals for and 2.4 against, compared with 1.2 for and 1.5 against for ST Johnstone.
- Form in the competition. Kilmarnock: 2W 2D 7L, goals 11–26; ST Johnstone: 3W 4D 4L, goals 13–17.
- Head to head. In 46 previous meetings, Kilmarnock have taken 16 wins to ST Johnstone's 21 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 52–51.
What to expect
In our view Kilmarnock hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the ST Johnstone, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 46; Kilmarnock 16 wins, 9 draws, ST Johnstone 21 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Kilmarnock 11–26, ST Johnstone 13–17.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: Kilmarnock 0, ST Johnstone 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Kilmarnock: no absences. ST Johnstone will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.17 | 3.82 | 3.36 |
| Market average | 2.10 | 3.61 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.20 | 2.71 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.18 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.61 | 35.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Kilmarnock 1–1 ST Johnstone, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Kilmarnock 11th (9 points), ST Johnstone 7th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Kilmarnock 2W 2D 7L (11:26), ST Johnstone 3W 4D 4L (13:17).
- H2H: 46 matches: Kilmarnock 16W 9D 21L, goals 52–51.
- Absences: Kilmarnock 0, ST Johnstone 0.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: injuries and missing players
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Kilmarnock
Home and away
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: last matches of both teams
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
KilmarnockDLLWLST JohnstoneDDLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
Kilmarnock -0.25 (Asian handicap) (2.00); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
Our estimate gives Kilmarnock a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ST Johnstone 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.
Who will be missing?
Kilmarnock: no absences. ST Johnstone: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.70) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.2%), then 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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