Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dunkerque welcome Metz on 23 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkirk), and the referee is Mickaël Leleu, France. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Metz win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Metz lose.
Dunkerque vs Metz: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Dunkerque lie 10th, having collected 15 points after 12 matches (4W 3D 5L); Metz lie 7th, having collected 17 points (4W 5D 3L).
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Dunkerque have taken 0 wins to Metz's 4 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 5–11.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; Dunkerque 0 wins, 1 draw, Metz 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Dunkerque 0, Metz 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 62%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Dunkerque: no absences. Metz will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Dunkerque vs Metz: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.83 | 3.63 | 2.46 |
| Market average | 2.78 | 3.55 | 2.31 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.62 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.24 | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.52 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 17:15. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Dunkerque 1–1 Metz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dunkerque 10th (15 points), Metz 7th (17 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Dunkerque 0W 1D 4L, goals 5–11.
- Absences: Dunkerque 0, Metz 0.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Dunkerque vs Metz: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Dunkerque vs Metz: injuries and missing players
Dunkerque
- No reported absences
Metz
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 12 | 8-1-3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 12 | 7-3-2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 |  Reims | 12 | 5-6-1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Dijon | 12 | 5-3-4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Metz | 12 | 4-5-3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 |  RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Annecy | 12 | 5-1-6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 12 | 4-3-5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 12 | 2-7-3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sochaux | 12 | 2-5-5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 12 | 3-2-7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 17 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 18 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dunkerque
Home and away
Dunkerque vs Metz: last matches of both teams
Dunkerque
Metz
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Dunkerque vs Metz?
Metz +0 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?
Our estimate gives Dunkerque a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Metz 40%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk. Referee: Mickaël Leleu, France.
Who will be missing?
Dunkerque: no absences. Metz: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.71) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.4%), then 1–2 (8.8%) and 0–1 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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