Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rodez welcome Dunkerque on 30 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez), and the referee is Eddy Rosier. Rodez (47%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Rodez win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Rodez lose.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Rodez lie 13th, having collected 13 points after 11 matches (4W 1D 6L); Dunkerque lie 10th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Rodez average 1.6 goals for and 2.2 against, compared with 1.4 for and 1.6 against for Dunkerque.
- Form in the competition. Rodez: 3W 1D 6L, goals 16–22; Dunkerque: 3W 3D 4L, goals 14–16.
- Head to head. In 15 previous meetings, Rodez have taken 7 wins to Dunkerque's 2 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 23–13.
What to expect
In our view Rodez hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.52), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 15; Rodez 7 wins, 6 draws, Dunkerque 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Rodez 16–22, Dunkerque 14–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
- Unavailable: Rodez 0, Dunkerque 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Rodez: no absences. Dunkerque will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.06 | 3.80 | 3.61 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.63 | 3.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.90 | 3.24 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.15 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.53 | 2.42 | 38.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.52 | 1.49 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.45 | 37.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Rodez 1–1 Dunkerque, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rodez 13th (13 points), Dunkerque 10th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Rodez 3W 1D 6L (16:22), Dunkerque 3W 3D 4L (14:16).
- H2H: 15 matches: Rodez 7W 6D 2L, goals 23–13.
- Absences: Rodez 0, Dunkerque 0.
Who will win Rodez vs Dunkerque?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Rodez vs Dunkerque: injuries and missing players
Rodez
- No reported absences
Dunkerque
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 12 | 8-1-3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 12 | 7-3-2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 |  Reims | 12 | 5-6-1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Dijon | 12 | 5-3-4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Metz | 12 | 4-5-3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 |  RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Annecy | 12 | 5-1-6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 12 | 4-3-5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 12 | 2-7-3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sochaux | 12 | 2-5-5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 12 | 3-2-7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 17 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 18 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
Recent matches
Rodez
Home and away
Rodez vs Dunkerque: last matches of both teams
Rodez
Dunkerque
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
RodezWWLLLDunkerqueWLDWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Rodez vs Dunkerque?
Rodez -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.52).
Who will win Rodez vs Dunkerque?
Our estimate gives Rodez a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dunkerque 28%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 30 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez. Referee: Eddy Rosier.
Who will be missing?
Rodez: no absences. Dunkerque: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.52).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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